MathPredictions
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Ecuador LigaPro Serie B

Gualaceo SC vs Independiente Juniors Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.14 – 0.91
Avg goals2.05
Our pickHome
Gualaceo SC 39% Draw 33% Independiente Juniors 28%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 39% 2.53 2.63
Double chance – Home or draw 72% 1.38 1.38
Goals 2.5 Under 66% 1.51 –
Both teams to score – No 58% 1.73 –
Corners 9.5 Under 71% 1.40 –
Correct score – 1-1 15% 6.80 6.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.63  ·  Draw 2.90  ·  Away 2.55

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.0 Gualaceo SC
7.7 Expected corners
3.7 Independiente Juniors

Gualaceo SC corner stats · Independiente Juniors corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 29% Under 71%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 7.7 corners in this match, with Gualaceo SC winning 4 of them.
  • Gualaceo SC matches average 8.63 total corners (4.37 won per game) across their last 30 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 37% of Gualaceo SC matches.
  • Independiente Juniors win 4.24 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.07 over their last 29.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 34% of Independiente Juniors matches.
  • Games involving Gualaceo SC produce 2.03 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 37%.
  • Independiente Juniors matches average 2.07 goals, with both teams scoring in 48% of them.
  • Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 2.8 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 8.1 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.50 (66%).

Gualaceo SC — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-30 H D Macara 1–1 8–6
2026-07-25 A D El Nacional 0–0 6–3
2026-07-12 A D Club 9 de Octubre 0–0 8–5
2026-07-02 A W Vinotinto Ecuador 2–1 0–4
2026-06-11 H W Cumbaya 1–0 5–4
2026-06-07 A L LDU Portoviejo 0–1 0–10
2026-06-04 H W Mushuc Runa 1–0 3–4
2026-05-31 H W CD Santo Domingo 1–0 1–5
2026-05-23 A L Atletico FC Guayaquil 1–2 9–2
2026-05-17 H D San Antonio FC Cotacachi 1–1 6–4

Independiente Juniors — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-24 H W Vinotinto Ecuador 2–0 3–2
2026-07-18 A W LDU Portoviejo 1–0 2–6
2026-07-12 H D Atletico FC Guayaquil 0–0 3–1
2026-07-09 H D LDU Quito 1–1 2–8
2026-07-03 A L CD Santo Domingo 0–1 3–2
2026-06-11 H W CD Cuenca Jrs 4–0 4–5
2026-06-05 A D San Antonio FC Cotacachi 0–0 2–1
2026-05-31 A L Cumbaya 0–1 3–1
2026-05-26 H D Club 9 de Octubre 0–0 6–5
2026-05-08 H D Gualaceo SC 1–1 5–2

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Gualaceo SC vs Independiente Juniors?
Our model gives Gualaceo SC a 39% chance, the draw 33% and Independiente Juniors 28%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Gualaceo SC vs Independiente Juniors?
The corner model projects 7.7 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 29% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.