China Division 2
Guangdong Mingtu vs Wenzhou FC Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
LIVE 89′ 0–0
Corners6–2
Yellow cards1–2
Shots on target1–2
Shots off target6–3
Attacks69–74
Dangerous attacks45–29
Possession63%–37%
Predicted score
1-016%0-014%1-113%
Expected goals1.25 – 0.77
Avg goals2.02
Our pickHome
Guangdong Mingtu 47%
Draw 31%
Wenzhou FC 23%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 47% | 2.13 | 1.83 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 77% | 1.29 | 1.17 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 67% | 1.49 | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 61% | 1.64 | – |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 57% | 1.76 | 1.85 |
| Correct score | – | 1-0 +36% Value | 16% | 6.24 | 9.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.83 · Draw 3.20 · Away 4.00 |
| Goals 2 | Over 1.95 · Under 1.85 |
| Corners 8.5 | Over 1.95 · Under 1.85 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.5
Guangdong Mingtu
8.9
Expected corners
4.4
Wenzhou FC
Guangdong Mingtu corner stats · Wenzhou FC corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 43%
Under 57%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 8.9 corners here; Guangdong Mingtu are forecast for 4.5.
- Guangdong Mingtu win 4.71 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.00 over their last 28.
- Guangdong Mingtu games clear the 9.5 corner line 46% of the time.
- Across 28 recent matches, Wenzhou FC games produced 8.71 corners on average — 4.39 taken by Wenzhou FC themselves.
- Wenzhou FC games clear the 9.5 corner line 39% of the time.
- Guangdong Mingtu matches average 1.96 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% of them.
- Games involving Wenzhou FC produce 1.75 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 39%.
- The last 3 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.3 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 8.3 across their last 3 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 2.50 goals at 67% probability.
Guangdong Mingtu — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | A | D Hubei Istar | 0–0 | 3–4 |
| 2026-07-26 | H | W Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves | 2–0 | 3–3 |
| 2026-07-19 | A | D Jiangxi Lushan | 0–0 | 1–3 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | D Shenzhen 2028 | 2–2 | 6–6 |
| 2026-07-04 | A | W Guangzhou Dandelion | 2–1 | 3–1 |
| 2026-06-27 | H | L Xiamen Feilu | 1–2 | 6–3 |
| 2026-06-23 | H | D Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 0–0 | 3–3 |
| 2026-06-19 | A | W Ganzhou Ruishi | 2–0 | 4–4 |
| 2026-06-13 | H | D Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | 1–1 | 7–1 |
| 2026-05-27 | A | W Wuhan Three Towns Reserves | 1–0 | 6–4 |
Wenzhou FC — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | H | L Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 0–2 | 0–10 |
| 2026-08-01 | H | D Jiangxi Lushan | 1–1 | 1–4 |
| 2026-07-25 | A | D Guangzhou Dandelion | 0–0 | 9–6 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | L Hubei Istar | 1–2 | 16–5 |
| 2026-07-05 | A | D Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | 0–0 | 6–5 |
| 2026-06-28 | H | L Ganzhou Ruishi | 0–1 | 10–0 |
| 2026-06-24 | H | W Wuhan Three Towns Reserves | 2–1 | 1–3 |
| 2026-06-20 | A | W Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves | 2–1 | 6–7 |
| 2026-06-13 | H | W Xiamen Feilu | 1–0 | 6–5 |
| 2026-05-26 | A | L Shenzhen 2028 | 0–4 | 4–4 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Guangdong Mingtu vs Wenzhou FC?
- Our model gives Guangdong Mingtu a 47% chance, the draw 31% and Wenzhou FC 23%. The most likely score is 1-0.
- How many corners are expected in Guangdong Mingtu vs Wenzhou FC?
- The corner model projects 8.9 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 43% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.