Paraguay Women League
Guarani Asuncion (W) vs Libertad Asuncion (W) Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-2
Expected goals1.02 – 2.25
Avg goals3.27
Our pickAway
Guarani Asuncion (W) 15%
Draw 21%
Libertad Asuncion (W) 64%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 64% | 1.56 | 1.18 |
| Double chance | – | Draw or away | 85% | 1.18 | 1.00 |
| Goals | 3.25 | Under | 54% | 1.87 | 2.00 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 58% | 1.72 | – |
| Asian handicap | 2 | Home +27% Value | 72% | 1.39 | 1.85 |
| Corners | 8 | Under | 52% | 1.92 | 1.88 |
| Correct score | – | 1-2 | 10% | 10.19 | – |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 10.00 · Draw 6.50 · Away 1.18 |
| Goals 3 | Over 1.80 · Under 2.00 |
| Asian handicap 2 | Home 1.85 · Away 1.95 |
| Corners 8 | Over 1.93 · Under 1.88 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.1
Guarani Asuncion (W)
7.9
Expected corners
3.8
Libertad Asuncion (W)
Guarani Asuncion (W) corner stats · Libertad Asuncion (W) corner stats
Corner line 8.00
Over 48%
Under 52%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 7.9 corners here; Guarani Asuncion (W) are forecast for 4.1.
- Guarani Asuncion (W) win 4.73 corners per game, with match totals averaging 7.91 over their last 11.
- Guarani Asuncion (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 18% of the time.
- Across 20 recent matches, Libertad Asuncion (W) games produced 8.50 corners on average — 4.55 taken by Libertad Asuncion (W) themselves.
- Libertad Asuncion (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 35% of the time.
- Guarani Asuncion (W) matches average 3.45 goals, with both teams scoring in 55% of them.
- Games involving Libertad Asuncion (W) produce 3.15 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 35%.
- The model leans Under 3.25 goals at 54% probability.
Guarani Asuncion (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | A | D Rubio Nu (W) | 1–1 | 7–1 |
| 2026-07-23 | A | L Olimpia Asuncion (W) | 1–4 | 4–7 |
| 2026-07-19 | H | W Sportivo Trinidense (W) | 4–1 | 7–1 |
| 2026-07-06 | H | L Olimpia Asuncion (W) | 0–3 | 4–2 |
| 2026-06-28 | H | W Deportivo Recoleta (W) | 1–0 | 9–1 |
| 2026-05-24 | H | W Cerro Porteno (W) | 2–1 | 2–5 |
| 2026-05-18 | A | D Nacional-Humaita (W) | 1–1 | 3–3 |
| 2026-05-02 | A | W Sportivo Luqueno (W) | 5–0 | 4–1 |
| 2026-04-19 | A | D Libertad Asuncion (W) | 1–1 | 5–3 |
| 2025-12-14 | H | L Olimpia Asuncion (W) | 0–2 | 1–8 |
Libertad Asuncion (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | H | W Deportivo Recoleta (W) | 4–0 | 8–0 |
| 2026-07-06 | H | W Cerro Porteno (W) | 1–0 | 0–8 |
| 2026-06-01 | A | W 2 de Mayo (W) | 10–0 | 10–0 |
| 2026-05-25 | H | W Sportivo Luqueno (W) | 9–0 | 9–0 |
| 2026-05-18 | A | W Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) | 3–1 | 4–2 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | D Olimpia Asuncion (W) | 1–1 | 3–6 |
| 2026-04-19 | H | D Guarani Asuncion (W) | 1–1 | 3–5 |
| 2025-12-14 | A | L Cerro Porteno (W) | 0–1 | 3–4 |
| 2025-12-10 | H | L Olimpia Asuncion (W) | 0–4 | 1–8 |
| 2025-11-23 | A | W Cerro Porteno (W) | 1–0 | 4–3 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Guarani Asuncion (W) vs Libertad Asuncion (W)?
- Our model gives Guarani Asuncion (W) a 15% chance, the draw 21% and Libertad Asuncion (W) 64%. The most likely score is 1-2.
- How many corners are expected in Guarani Asuncion (W) vs Libertad Asuncion (W)?
- The corner model projects 7.9 total corners. Over 8.00 corners is rated at 48% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.