Australia Western Australia State League 1
Gwelup Croatia SC vs Subiaco AFC Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
2-1
Expected goals2.23 – 1.73
Avg goals3.95
Our pickHome
Gwelup Croatia SC 49%
Draw 22%
Subiaco AFC 30%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 49% | 2.05 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 78% | 1.28 | 1.18 |
| Goals | 3.25 | Over +13% Value | 62% | 1.62 | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 74% | 1.35 | – |
| Asian handicap | -0.25 | Home | 55% | 1.83 | 1.85 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 55% | 1.81 | – |
| Correct score | – | 2-1 +7% Value | 8% | 12.18 | 13.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.00 · Draw 3.80 · Away 2.88 |
| Goals 3.25 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
| Asian handicap -0.25 | Home 1.85 · Away 1.95 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.5
Gwelup Croatia SC
9.1
Expected corners
4.6
Subiaco AFC
Gwelup Croatia SC corner stats · Subiaco AFC corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 45%
Under 55%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 9.1 corners here; Gwelup Croatia SC are forecast for 4.5.
- Gwelup Croatia SC win 4.41 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.53 over their last 17.
- Gwelup Croatia SC games clear the 9.5 corner line 59% of the time.
- Across 19 recent matches, Subiaco AFC games produced 8.84 corners on average — 4.63 taken by Subiaco AFC themselves.
- Subiaco AFC games clear the 9.5 corner line 37% of the time.
- Gwelup Croatia SC matches average 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 77% of them.
- Games involving Subiaco AFC produce 4.42 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 84%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.6 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 9 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Over 3.25 goals at 62% probability.
Gwelup Croatia SC — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | H | W Inglewood United | 2–1 | 4–7 |
| 2026-06-05 | A | L Floreat Athena | 0–4 | 5–8 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | W Kingsley Westside | 4–1 | 6–3 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | L Subiaco AFC | 1–5 | 4–8 |
| 2026-05-09 | H | D Murdoch University Melville FC | 2–2 | 3–7 |
| 2026-05-06 | H | D Cockburn City | 4–4 | 5–4 |
| 2026-04-02 | A | W Curtin University SC | 1–0 | 10–5 |
| 2026-03-28 | H | D UWA-Nedlands FC | 1–1 | 3–4 |
| 2026-03-21 | H | L Joondalup City | 1–3 | 4–6 |
| 2026-03-07 | H | W Subiaco AFC | 2–1 | 4–4 |
Subiaco AFC — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | H | D Murdoch University Melville FC | 1–1 | 6–6 |
| 2026-06-13 | H | L Mandurah City | 3–5 | 4–4 |
| 2026-06-06 | A | L Cockburn City | 1–2 | 5–5 |
| 2026-05-30 | H | L UWA-Nedlands FC | 2–3 | 5–4 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | L Curtin University SC | 0–2 | 3–4 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | W Gwelup Croatia SC | 5–1 | 8–4 |
| 2026-05-08 | A | L Floreat Athena | 4–5 | 1–3 |
| 2026-05-02 | A | L Kingsley Westside | 0–1 | 6–6 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | L Murdoch University Melville FC | 1–2 | 4–4 |
| 2026-04-22 | H | L Quinns FC | 3–4 | 5–4 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Gwelup Croatia SC vs Subiaco AFC?
- Our model gives Gwelup Croatia SC a 49% chance, the draw 22% and Subiaco AFC 30%. The most likely score is 2-1.
- How many corners are expected in Gwelup Croatia SC vs Subiaco AFC?
- The corner model projects 9.1 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 45% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.