Elite Club Friendlies
Hamburg vs Everton Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.43 – 1.35
Avg goals2.78
Our pickHome
Hamburg 38%
Draw 28%
Everton 34%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 38% | 2.63 | 2.35 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 72% | 1.38 | 1.21 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Over | 53% | 1.90 | 1.80 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 58% | 1.74 | 1.67 |
| Asian handicap | 0 | Home | 53% | 1.90 | 1.83 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.59 | 7.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.35 · Draw 3.40 · Away 2.50 |
| Goals 2.5 | Over 1.80 · Under 2.00 |
| Asian handicap 0 | Home 1.83 · Away 1.98 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- Hamburg win 3.78 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.34 over their last 41.
- Hamburg games clear the 9.5 corner line 44% of the time.
- Across 46 recent matches, Everton games produced 9.41 corners on average — 4.46 taken by Everton themselves.
- Everton games clear the 9.5 corner line 41% of the time.
- Hamburg matches average 2.73 goals, with both teams scoring in 63% of them.
- Games involving Everton produce 2.43 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 46%.
- The model leans Over 2.50 goals at 53% probability.
Hamburg — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | W Heidenheim | 3–1 | 2–6 |
| 2026-07-19 | A | L Rapid Vienna | 2–3 | 4–4 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | D Bayer Leverkusen | 1–1 | 3–8 |
| 2026-05-10 | H | W SC Freiburg | 3–2 | 2–4 |
| 2026-05-02 | A | W Eintracht Frankfurt | 2–1 | 4–9 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | L TSG Hoffenheim | 1–2 | 4–9 |
| 2026-04-18 | A | L Werder Bremen | 1–3 | 3–7 |
| 2026-04-12 | A | L VfB Stuttgart | 0–4 | 2–8 |
| 2026-04-04 | H | D Augsburg | 1–1 | 8–2 |
| 2026-03-22 | A | L Borussia Dortmund | 2–3 | 3–11 |
Everton — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | A | L Stoke | 0–1 | 7–7 |
| 2026-07-25 | A | D Bolton | 0–0 | 3–5 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | W Dundee | 4–0 | 6–1 |
| 2026-05-24 | A | L Tottenham | 0–1 | 7–7 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | L Sunderland | 1–3 | 3–2 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | D Crystal Palace | 2–2 | 10–5 |
| 2026-05-05 | H | D Man City | 3–3 | 5–9 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | L West Ham | 1–2 | 4–3 |
| 2026-04-19 | H | D Liverpool | 1–1 | 1–5 |
| 2026-04-11 | A | D Brentford | 2–2 | 3–2 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Hamburg vs Everton?
- Our model gives Hamburg a 38% chance, the draw 28% and Everton 34%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.