Sweden Damallsvenskan
Hammarby (W) vs Vaxjo (W) Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
2-0
Expected goals2.89 – 0.79
Avg goals3.67
Our pickHome
Hammarby (W) 80%
Draw 14%
Vaxjo (W) 7%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 80% | 1.26 | 1.20 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 93% | 1.07 | 1.02 |
| Goals | 4 | Under +11% Value | 62% | 1.62 | 1.98 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 52% | 1.93 | 1.67 |
| Asian handicap | -2 | Home | 50% | 1.99 | 2.00 |
| Corners | 11.5 | Under | 52% | 1.92 | 1.93 |
| Correct score | – | 2-0 +441% Value | 11% | 9.43 | 51.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.20 · Draw 7.00 · Away 9.00 |
| Goals 3.75 | Over 1.83 · Under 1.98 |
| Asian handicap -2.25 | Home 2.00 · Away 1.80 |
| Corners 11.5 | Over 1.88 · Under 1.93 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
7.6
Hammarby (W)
11.3
Expected corners
3.7
Vaxjo (W)
Hammarby (W) corner stats · Vaxjo (W) corner stats
Corner line 11.50
Over 48%
Under 52%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 11.3 corners here; Hammarby (W) are forecast for 7.6.
- Across 41 recent matches, Hammarby (W) games produced 10.83 corners on average — 7.41 taken by Hammarby (W) themselves.
- Hammarby (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 63% of the time.
- Vaxjo (W) matches average 10.50 total corners (4.29 won per game) across their last 28 with corner data.
- Vaxjo (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 64% of the time.
- Hammarby (W) matches average 3.12 goals, with both teams scoring in 39% of them.
- Games involving Vaxjo (W) produce 3.50 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 50%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 4.1 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 9.1 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 4.00 goals at 62% probability.
Hammarby (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | A | W IFK Norrkoping (W) | 4–0 | 8–3 |
| 2026-06-26 | A | D Pitea IF (W) | 1–1 | 5–2 |
| 2026-06-18 | H | W AIK (W) | 4–1 | 2–9 |
| 2026-06-13 | H | L BK Hacken (W) | 0–1 | 5–8 |
| 2026-05-31 | A | W Vittsjö GIK (W) | 2–1 | 6–2 |
| 2026-05-28 | A | W Eskilstuna Utd (W) | 1–0 | 7–5 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | W Kristianstads (W) | 1–0 | 3–5 |
| 2026-05-21 | H | W Malmo FF (W) | 2–1 | 8–7 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | D BK Hacken (W) | 0–0 | 2–7 |
| 2026-05-13 | A | W Djurgardens (W) | 2–0 | 6–5 |
Vaxjo (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-25 | H | W Brommapojkarna (W) | 2–1 | 2–4 |
| 2026-06-19 | A | D IFK Norrkoping (W) | 0–0 | 9–6 |
| 2026-06-13 | H | W IK Uppsala (W) | 4–0 | 5–3 |
| 2026-05-31 | A | L Malmo FF (W) | 0–3 | 4–4 |
| 2026-05-24 | H | L Vittsjö GIK (W) | 0–2 | 7–4 |
| 2026-05-21 | A | L BK Hacken (W) | 2–4 | 2–5 |
| 2026-05-09 | H | D AIK (W) | 3–3 | 3–8 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | L Pitea IF (W) | 1–2 | 4–10 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | L Kristianstads (W) | 0–1 | 5–6 |
| 2026-04-03 | H | W Eskilstuna Utd (W) | 3–0 | 7–9 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Hammarby (W) vs Vaxjo (W)?
- Our model gives Hammarby (W) a 80% chance, the draw 14% and Vaxjo (W) 7%. The most likely score is 2-0.
- How many corners are expected in Hammarby (W) vs Vaxjo (W)?
- The corner model projects 11.3 total corners. Over 11.50 corners is rated at 48% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.