MathPredictions

Israel League Cup

Hapoel Jerusalem vs Maccabi Petah Tikva Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.47 – 1.26
Avg goals2.73
Our pickHome
Hapoel Jerusalem 41% Draw 28% Maccabi Petah Tikva 31%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) Home 41% 2.45 2.20
Double chance Home or away 72% 1.39 1.20
Goals 2.5 Over 51% 1.95 1.85
Both teams to score Yes 56% 1.78
Asian handicap -0.25 Away 53% 1.90 1.83
Correct score 1-1 13% 7.52 7.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.20  ·  Draw 3.60  ·  Away 2.63
Goals 2.5 Over 1.85  ·  Under 1.95
Asian handicap -0.25 Home 1.98  ·  Away 1.83

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

Hapoel Jerusalem — last 6 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 A L Maccabi Netanya 1–3 12–2
2026-07-10 A D Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv 2–2 5–4
2026-05-14 A W MS Ashdod 1–0 2–3
2026-05-11 H W Bnei Sakhnin 1–0 7–1
2026-04-27 H D Hapoel Haifa 0–0 8–5
2025-12-09 A D Beitar Jerusalem 1–1 3–14

Maccabi Petah Tikva — last 6 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-30 H L Maccabi Netanya 1–2 5–6
2026-07-26 A L Hapoel Petach Tikva 0–1 2–4
2026-05-26 A D SC Kiryat Yam 0–0 3–7
2026-05-20 H D Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv 2–2 3–3
2026-05-15 A D Hapoel Kfar Saba 2–2 5–2
2026-05-12 H W Hapoel Rishon Lezion 2–0 7–1

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Hapoel Jerusalem vs Maccabi Petah Tikva?
Our model gives Hapoel Jerusalem a 41% chance, the draw 28% and Maccabi Petah Tikva 31%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.