Israel League Cup
Hapoel Jerusalem vs Maccabi Petah Tikva Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.47 – 1.26
Avg goals2.73
Our pickHome
Hapoel Jerusalem 41%
Draw 28%
Maccabi Petah Tikva 31%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 41% | 2.45 | 2.20 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 72% | 1.39 | 1.20 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Over | 51% | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 56% | 1.78 | – |
| Asian handicap | -0.25 | Away | 53% | 1.90 | 1.83 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.52 | 7.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.20 · Draw 3.60 · Away 2.63 |
| Goals 2.5 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
| Asian handicap -0.25 | Home 1.98 · Away 1.83 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- Across 6 recent matches, Hapoel Jerusalem games produced 11.00 corners on average — 6.17 taken by Hapoel Jerusalem themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 50% of Hapoel Jerusalem matches.
- Maccabi Petah Tikva matches average 8.00 total corners (4.17 won per game) across their last 6 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 33% of Maccabi Petah Tikva matches.
- Games involving Hapoel Jerusalem produce 2.00 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 50%.
- Maccabi Petah Tikva matches average 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.50 (51%).
Hapoel Jerusalem — last 6 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | L Maccabi Netanya | 1–3 | 12–2 |
| 2026-07-10 | A | D Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv | 2–2 | 5–4 |
| 2026-05-14 | A | W MS Ashdod | 1–0 | 2–3 |
| 2026-05-11 | H | W Bnei Sakhnin | 1–0 | 7–1 |
| 2026-04-27 | H | D Hapoel Haifa | 0–0 | 8–5 |
| 2025-12-09 | A | D Beitar Jerusalem | 1–1 | 3–14 |
Maccabi Petah Tikva — last 6 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | H | L Maccabi Netanya | 1–2 | 5–6 |
| 2026-07-26 | A | L Hapoel Petach Tikva | 0–1 | 2–4 |
| 2026-05-26 | A | D SC Kiryat Yam | 0–0 | 3–7 |
| 2026-05-20 | H | D Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv | 2–2 | 3–3 |
| 2026-05-15 | A | D Hapoel Kfar Saba | 2–2 | 5–2 |
| 2026-05-12 | H | W Hapoel Rishon Lezion | 2–0 | 7–1 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Hapoel Jerusalem vs Maccabi Petah Tikva?
- Our model gives Hapoel Jerusalem a 41% chance, the draw 28% and Maccabi Petah Tikva 31%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.