MathPredictions
▾

UK Friendlies

Hartlepool vs Fleetwood Town Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.21 – 1.64
Avg goals2.85
Our pickAway
Hartlepool 27% Draw 27% Fleetwood Town 46%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 46% 2.15 2.10
Double chance – Home or away 73% 1.36 1.24
Goals 2.5 Over 54% 1.84 1.85
Both teams to score – Yes 58% 1.73 –
Asian handicap 0.25 Away 54% 1.87 1.90
Corners 9.5 Under 56% 1.77 –
Correct score – 1-1 13% 7.92 6.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 3.00  ·  Draw 3.30  ·  Away 2.10
Goals 2.5 Over 1.85  ·  Under 1.95
Asian handicap 0.25 Home 1.90  ·  Away 1.90

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.6 Hartlepool
8.9 Expected corners
4.3 Fleetwood Town

Hartlepool corner stats · Fleetwood Town corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 44% Under 56%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 8.9 corners here; Hartlepool are forecast for 4.6.
  • Hartlepool matches average 9.69 total corners (4.85 won per game) across their last 52 with corner data.
  • Hartlepool games clear the 9.5 corner line 52% of the time.
  • Fleetwood Town win 4.89 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.18 over their last 57.
  • Fleetwood Town games clear the 9.5 corner line 58% of the time.
  • Hartlepool matches average 2.54 goals, with both teams scoring in 46% of them.
  • Games involving Fleetwood Town produce 2.68 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 68%.
  • The model leans Over 2.50 goals at 54% probability.

Hartlepool — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 H L Grimsby 0–3 4–7
2026-07-22 A W Hebburn Town 3–2 6–1
2026-07-15 A W Redcar Athletic 4–2 8–6
2026-04-25 A L Boston Utd 1–3 3–4
2026-04-22 H W Southend 4–3 2–4
2026-04-18 H W Forest Green 2–1 6–5
2026-04-11 A L Boreham Wood 0–3 2–11
2026-04-06 H D Rochdale 0–0 5–4
2026-04-03 A D Scunthorpe 0–0 1–11
2026-04-01 A L Wealdstone 0–7 3–5

Fleetwood Town — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-29 H D Bolton 1–1 6–6
2026-07-22 H W Huddersfield 2–1 7–6
2026-05-02 H D Milton Keynes Dons 1–1 5–3
2026-04-25 A D Shrewsbury 2–2 2–5
2026-04-18 H D Chesterfield 1–1 4–6
2026-04-11 A W Accrington Stanley 2–1 8–4
2026-04-06 H L Barnet 2–5 9–6
2026-04-03 A L Bristol Rovers 0–1 4–5
2026-03-28 A D Swindon 1–1 9–6
2026-03-21 H W Crawley Town 1–0 4–10

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Hartlepool vs Fleetwood Town?
Our model gives Hartlepool a 27% chance, the draw 27% and Fleetwood Town 46%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Hartlepool vs Fleetwood Town?
The corner model projects 8.9 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 44% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.