Denmark Elitedivisionen Women
HB Køge (W) vs ASA Aarhus (W) Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
3-0
Expected goals3.11 – 0.77
Avg goals3.88
Our pickHome
HB Køge (W) 83%
Draw 12%
ASA Aarhus (W) 6%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 83% | 1.21 | 1.09 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 94% | 1.06 | 0.97 |
| Goals | 3.75 | Under | 51% | 1.97 | 1.88 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 52% | 1.93 | – |
| Asian handicap | -2.75 | Away +16% Value | 61% | 1.63 | 1.93 |
| Correct score | – | 3-0 | 10% | 9.68 | 81.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.09 · Draw 9.00 · Away 12.00 |
| Goals 3.75 | Over 1.93 · Under 1.88 |
| Asian handicap -2.75 | Home 1.88 · Away 1.93 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- Across 29 recent matches, HB Køge (W) games produced 10.66 corners on average — 7.79 taken by HB Køge (W) themselves.
- HB Køge (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 66% of the time.
- HB Køge (W) matches average 3.28 goals, with both teams scoring in 52% of them.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 3.75 (51%).
HB Køge (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | A | W FC Copenhagen (W) | 3–0 | 7–6 |
| 2026-06-13 | H | W Kolding IF (W) | 3–1 | 9–2 |
| 2026-05-31 | A | W AGF (W) | 3–0 | 8–3 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | W Fortuna Hjørring (W) | 1–0 | 10–2 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | W FC Nordsjaelland (W) | 4–1 | 0–0 |
| 2026-05-09 | H | L Brøndby IF (W) | 0–1 | 13–1 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | W Kolding IF (W) | 2–0 | 3–4 |
| 2026-04-05 | H | W AGF (W) | 2–0 | 10–2 |
| 2026-04-02 | A | W Brøndby IF (W) | 4–1 | 4–6 |
| 2026-03-28 | A | W Fortuna Hjørring (W) | 2–1 | 3–4 |
ASA Aarhus (W) — last 4 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | W AGF (W) | 3–1 | 6–3 |
| 2025-12-07 | H | L Brondby Women | 0–3 | 5–4 |
| 2025-11-22 | A | W Naestved HG (W) | 6–1 | 7–7 |
| 2025-10-05 | A | W B93 Copenhagen (W) | 5–1 | 6–2 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win HB Køge (W) vs ASA Aarhus (W)?
- Our model gives HB Køge (W) a 83% chance, the draw 12% and ASA Aarhus (W) 6%. The most likely score is 3-0.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.