MathPredictions
▾

Australia Victoria Cup Women

Heidelberg United (W) vs Essendon Royals (W) Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.36 – 2.19
Avg goals3.55
Our pickAway
Heidelberg United (W) 22% Draw 22% Essendon Royals (W) 55%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 55% 1.80 1.53
Double chance – Home or away 78% 1.28 1.11
Goals 3.5 Under 53% 1.90 1.80
Both teams to score – Yes 67% 1.50 –
Asian handicap 1 Home +8% Value 56% 1.78 1.95
Correct score – 1-1 9% 10.62 11.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 4.00  ·  Draw 4.75  ·  Away 1.53
Goals 3.5 Over 2.00  ·  Under 1.80
Asian handicap 1 Home 1.95  ·  Away 1.85

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

  • Heidelberg United (W) win 4.40 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.10 over their last 30.
  • Heidelberg United (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 43% of the time.
  • Across 27 recent matches, Essendon Royals (W) games produced 9.19 corners on average — 5.89 taken by Essendon Royals (W) themselves.
  • Essendon Royals (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 56% of the time.
  • Heidelberg United (W) matches average 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 70% of them.
  • Games involving Essendon Royals (W) produce 3.81 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 63%.
  • The last 6 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.8 goals per game.
  • Corners have averaged 8.7 across their last 6 direct meetings.
  • The model leans Under 3.50 goals at 53% probability.

Heidelberg United (W) — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 H L Avondale (W) 0–4 0–4
2026-07-18 A D Bulleen Lions (W) 1–1 8–3
2026-07-11 H L Alamein FC (W) 1–2 4–2
2026-07-03 A L Spring Hills FC (W) 0–1 6–0
2026-06-27 H L Boroondara Eagles (W) 1–3 4–6
2026-06-21 H L Box Hill (W) 1–3 2–5
2026-06-06 A L South Melbourne (W) 1–2 2–10
2026-05-30 H L Melbourne Victory NPL (W) 0–1 4–4
2026-05-22 A L Preston Lions (W) 0–2 6–9
2026-05-19 A W Avondale (W) 3–1 3–4

Essendon Royals (W) — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 H W Melbourne Victory NPL (W) 6–0 5–5
2026-07-18 A W Melbourne City NPL (W) 3–1 9–5
2026-07-15 A W Bulleen Lions (W) 4–2 0–3
2026-07-11 H W Keilor Park (W) 3–0 6–4
2026-07-04 A L Avondale (W) 2–4 2–4
2026-06-27 H L Bulleen Lions (W) 1–2 1–4
2026-06-20 H W Alamein FC (W) 2–0 4–6
2026-06-06 H W Spring Hills FC (W) 2–1 9–1
2026-05-31 A W Boroondara Eagles (W) 4–0 9–5
2026-05-23 H W Box Hill (W) 7–1 8–2

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Heidelberg United (W) vs Essendon Royals (W)?
Our model gives Heidelberg United (W) a 22% chance, the draw 22% and Essendon Royals (W) 55%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.