MathPredictions

Europe Friendlies

Heidenheim vs FC Ingolstadt Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

LIVE 49′ 2–0

Corners3–2
Yellow cards0–0
Shots on target2–0
Shots off target2–3
Attacks59–54
Dangerous attacks32–28
Possession53%–47%
Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.56 – 1.04
Avg goals2.60
Our pickHome
Heidenheim 48% Draw 28% FC Ingolstadt 24%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) Home 48% 2.08 1.67
Double chance Home or draw 76% 1.32 1.20
Goals 2.5 Under 52% 1.93 1.95
Both teams to score Yes 52% 1.92
Correct score 1-1 13% 7.54 11.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.67  ·  Draw 4.33  ·  Away 3.50
Goals 3.75 Over 1.85  ·  Under 1.95
Corners 8.5 Over 1.85  ·  Under 1.95

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

Heidenheim — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 A L Hamburg 1–3 6–2
2026-07-22 A D Bologna 1–1 4–9
2026-07-11 A L Lugano 0–1 7–3
2026-07-04 A W SCR Altach 2–1 3–3
2026-05-16 H L Mainz 0–2 6–3
2026-05-10 A W Cologne 3–1 4–6
2026-05-02 A D Bayern Munich 3–3 5–13
2026-04-25 H W St Pauli 2–0 6–6
2026-04-19 A L SC Freiburg 1–2 4–5
2026-04-11 H W Union Berlin 3–1 3–5

FC Ingolstadt — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-18 A W Palermo 1–0 2–7
2026-07-04 H W VfB Eichstätt 2–0 8–4
2026-05-16 H W Waldhof Mannheim 5–1 7–5
2026-05-09 A W 1860 Munich 2–1 4–6
2026-05-04 H L Erzgebirge Aue 3–5 2–2
2026-04-25 A W TSG Hoffenheim II 3–0 9–7
2026-04-18 H L VfL Osnabruck 0–1 4–10
2026-04-11 A L Rot-Weiss Essen 1–4 8–14
2026-04-09 H L FC Viktoria Köln 1–2 4–4
2026-04-05 A L Saarbrucken 0–1 2–4

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Heidenheim vs FC Ingolstadt?
Our model gives Heidenheim a 48% chance, the draw 28% and FC Ingolstadt 24%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.