Europe Friendlies
Heidenheim vs FC Ingolstadt Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
LIVE 49′ 2–0
Corners3–2
Yellow cards0–0
Shots on target2–0
Shots off target2–3
Attacks59–54
Dangerous attacks32–28
Possession53%–47%
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.56 – 1.04
Avg goals2.60
Our pickHome
Heidenheim 48%
Draw 28%
FC Ingolstadt 24%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 48% | 2.08 | 1.67 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 76% | 1.32 | 1.20 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 52% | 1.93 | 1.95 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 52% | 1.92 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.54 | 11.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.67 · Draw 4.33 · Away 3.50 |
| Goals 3.75 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
| Corners 8.5 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- Heidenheim win 4.64 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.52 over their last 42.
- Heidenheim games clear the 9.5 corner line 43% of the time.
- Across 41 recent matches, FC Ingolstadt games produced 10.51 corners on average — 4.68 taken by FC Ingolstadt themselves.
- FC Ingolstadt games clear the 9.5 corner line 59% of the time.
- Heidenheim matches average 3.21 goals, with both teams scoring in 62% of them.
- Games involving FC Ingolstadt produce 3.10 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 71%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.1 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 8.3 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 2.50 goals at 52% probability.
Heidenheim — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | A | L Hamburg | 1–3 | 6–2 |
| 2026-07-22 | A | D Bologna | 1–1 | 4–9 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | L Lugano | 0–1 | 7–3 |
| 2026-07-04 | A | W SCR Altach | 2–1 | 3–3 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | L Mainz | 0–2 | 6–3 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | W Cologne | 3–1 | 4–6 |
| 2026-05-02 | A | D Bayern Munich | 3–3 | 5–13 |
| 2026-04-25 | H | W St Pauli | 2–0 | 6–6 |
| 2026-04-19 | A | L SC Freiburg | 1–2 | 4–5 |
| 2026-04-11 | H | W Union Berlin | 3–1 | 3–5 |
FC Ingolstadt — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | A | W Palermo | 1–0 | 2–7 |
| 2026-07-04 | H | W VfB Eichstätt | 2–0 | 8–4 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | W Waldhof Mannheim | 5–1 | 7–5 |
| 2026-05-09 | A | W 1860 Munich | 2–1 | 4–6 |
| 2026-05-04 | H | L Erzgebirge Aue | 3–5 | 2–2 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | W TSG Hoffenheim II | 3–0 | 9–7 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | L VfL Osnabruck | 0–1 | 4–10 |
| 2026-04-11 | A | L Rot-Weiss Essen | 1–4 | 8–14 |
| 2026-04-09 | H | L FC Viktoria Köln | 1–2 | 4–4 |
| 2026-04-05 | A | L Saarbrucken | 0–1 | 2–4 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Heidenheim vs FC Ingolstadt?
- Our model gives Heidenheim a 48% chance, the draw 28% and FC Ingolstadt 24%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.