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Netherlands Eerste Divisie

Helmond Sport vs De Graafschap Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-111%1-29%0-18%
Expected goals1.31 – 1.74
Avg goals3.05
Our pickAway
Helmond Sport 29% Draw 24% De Graafschap 47%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 47% 2.13 2.10
Double chance – Home or away 76% 1.32 1.25
Goals 3 Under 53% 1.88 1.88
Both teams to score – Yes 61% 1.65 1.50
Asian handicap 0.25 Away 54% 1.87 1.83
Corners 9.5 Over 68% 1.47 1.90
Correct score – 1-1 11% 8.90 7.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 3.10  ·  Draw 3.70  ·  Away 2.10
Goals 3 Over 1.93  ·  Under 1.88
Asian handicap 0.25 Home 1.98  ·  Away 1.83
Corners 10.5 Over 1.90  ·  Under 1.90

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

6.0 Helmond Sport
11.1 Expected corners
5.1 De Graafschap

Helmond Sport corner stats · De Graafschap corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 68% Under 32%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 11.1 corners in this match, with Helmond Sport winning 6 of them.
  • Across 45 recent matches, Helmond Sport games produced 10.53 corners on average — 5.71 taken by Helmond Sport themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 58% of Helmond Sport matches.
  • De Graafschap matches average 12.00 total corners (6.14 won per game) across their last 44 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 73% of De Graafschap matches.
  • Games involving Helmond Sport produce 2.73 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 51%.
  • De Graafschap matches average 3.59 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
  • Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 3 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 11.5 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 3.00 (53%).

Helmond Sport — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-01 H W Sint-Truidense 1–0 3–5
2026-07-17 H L Al Taawon Buraidah 0–2 5–1
2026-07-12 H L Westerlo 0–2 8–4
2026-07-08 A D VV Gemert 1–1 4–3
2026-07-04 H L AEK Larnaca 1–2 6–5
2026-07-01 H L Panathinaikos 0–4 3–7
2026-04-25 A L FC Eindhoven 0–1 3–3
2026-04-18 H W VVV 2–0 6–0
2026-04-11 A D Maastricht 0–0 7–1
2026-04-06 H D RKC 2–2 0–1

De Graafschap — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 H W AE Kifisias 4–2 2–8
2026-07-12 H L AEK Athens 1–2 5–6
2026-06-27 A W FC Utrecht 2–1 2–7
2026-05-10 H D Almere City 2–2 7–5
2026-05-07 A L Almere City 1–3 3–3
2026-04-25 A L FC Emmen 0–1 6–7
2026-04-18 H W Cambuur Leeuwarden 3–1 5–2
2026-04-11 A D VVV 3–3 4–9
2026-04-06 H W AZ Reserves 5–0 9–2
2026-04-04 A D FC Eindhoven 2–2 5–3

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Helmond Sport vs De Graafschap?
Our model gives Helmond Sport a 29% chance, the draw 24% and De Graafschap 47%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Helmond Sport vs De Graafschap?
The corner model projects 11.1 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 68% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.