MathPredictions
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Norway Division 3 Group 1

Heming vs Baerum Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals2.00 – 1.74
Avg goals3.74
Our pickHome
Heming 44% Draw 23% Baerum 33%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home +7% Value 44% 2.29 2.45
Double chance – Home or away 77% 1.30 1.13
Goals 2.5 Over 72% 1.39 1.85
Both teams to score – Yes 72% 1.39 –
Corners 9.5 Over 60% 1.67 –
Correct score – 1-1 9% 10.99 10.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.45  ·  Draw 4.20  ·  Away 2.10
Goals 3.75 Over 1.85  ·  Under 1.95

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.6 Heming
10.4 Expected corners
5.8 Baerum

Heming corner stats · Baerum corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 60% Under 40%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 10.4 corners in this match, with Heming winning 4.6 of them.
  • Heming win 6.00 corners per game, with match totals averaging 12.50 over their last 12.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 75% of Heming matches.
  • Across 23 recent matches, Baerum games produced 8.61 corners on average — 5.30 taken by Baerum themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 35% of Baerum matches.
  • Games involving Heming produce 3.75 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 58%.
  • Baerum matches average 4.91 goals, with both teams scoring in 83% of them.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.50 (72%).

Heming — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 A W Ullern 3–1 4–8
2026-06-28 A D KFUM 2 2–2 2–5
2026-06-20 H W Gamle Oslo 1–0 7–5
2026-06-13 A L Frigg 1–4 7–4
2026-06-07 A W Lommedalen 3–1 7–2
2026-05-30 H W FK Union Carl Berner 2–0 4–4
2026-05-25 A W Valerenga 2 6–1 9–11
2026-05-16 H D IF Ready 0–0 5–11
2026-05-09 A L Asker 0–5 6–9
2026-05-02 H L Grei 2–3 10–3

Baerum — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 H W Valerenga 2 6–3 5–6
2026-06-27 A D Frigg 1–1 8–6
2026-06-20 H W Konnerud 7–2 7–1
2026-06-14 A W KFUM 2 4–1 5–2
2026-05-23 A L IF Ready 2–4 6–3
2026-05-16 H L Asker 2–4 2–4
2026-05-10 A L FK Union Carl Berner 0–2 6–3
2026-05-02 H W Lokomotiv Oslo 2–1 3–1
2026-04-25 H L Heming 1–4 10–3
2026-04-18 A W Nordstrand 5–1 6–1

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Heming vs Baerum?
Our model gives Heming a 44% chance, the draw 23% and Baerum 33%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Heming vs Baerum?
The corner model projects 10.4 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 60% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.