China Super League
Henan vs Dalian Young Boy Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
FT 1–1 (HT 1–0)
Corners3–5
Yellow cards4–2
Shots on target4–7
Shots off target13–4
Attacks114–56
Dangerous attacks60–32
Possession0%–0%
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.81 – 1.09
Avg goals2.90
Our pickHome
Henan 53%
Draw 25%
Dalian Young Boy 22%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 53% | 1.88 | 1.85 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 78% | 1.28 | 1.26 |
| Goals | 3 | Under +10% Value | 57% | 1.74 | 1.98 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 57% | 1.77 | 1.50 |
| Asian handicap | -0.5 | Home | 53% | 1.88 | 1.85 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 54% | 1.84 | 1.90 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 12% | 8.39 | 7.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.85 · Draw 3.90 · Away 3.75 |
| Goals 3 | Over 1.83 · Under 1.98 |
| Asian handicap -0.5 | Home 1.85 · Away 1.95 |
| Corners 9.5 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.3
Henan
9.9
Expected corners
4.5
Dalian Young Boy
Henan corner stats · Dalian Young Boy corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 54%
Under 46%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 9.9 corners here; Henan are forecast for 5.3.
- Henan win 5.39 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.86 over their last 36.
- Henan games clear the 9.5 corner line 36% of the time.
- Across 34 recent matches, Dalian Young Boy games produced 10.50 corners on average — 6.03 taken by Dalian Young Boy themselves.
- Dalian Young Boy games clear the 9.5 corner line 59% of the time.
- Henan matches average 2.72 goals, with both teams scoring in 58% of them.
- Games involving Dalian Young Boy produce 3.03 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 59%.
- The last 4 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.5 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 10 across their last 4 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 3.00 goals at 57% probability.
Henan — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | H | D Dalian Young Boy | 1–1 | 3–5 |
| 2026-07-26 | A | W Shandong Taishan | 2–1 | 6–3 |
| 2026-07-21 | H | D Dalian Young Boy | 1–1 | 6–5 |
| 2026-07-17 | H | W Qingdao Hainiu | 5–1 | 6–2 |
| 2026-07-03 | A | L Yunnan Yukun | 1–2 | 1–8 |
| 2026-06-27 | H | L Shanghai Port | 1–2 | 2–3 |
| 2026-06-19 | A | W Jiangxi Lushan | 2–0 | 8–1 |
| 2026-05-30 | H | L Zhejiang | 0–2 | 7–1 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | W Beijing Guoan | 2–1 | 5–4 |
| 2026-05-19 | A | W Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 2–1 | 1–4 |
Dalian Young Boy — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | A | D Henan | 1–1 | 5–3 |
| 2026-07-26 | A | L Zhejiang | 2–3 | 4–3 |
| 2026-07-21 | A | D Henan | 1–1 | 5–6 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | W Shandong Taishan | 3–1 | 6–6 |
| 2026-07-04 | H | W Wuhan Three Towns | 3–2 | 7–2 |
| 2026-06-28 | H | L Shanghai Shenhua | 1–4 | 8–2 |
| 2026-06-19 | A | D Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | 1–1 | 9–2 |
| 2026-05-31 | A | L Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 0–1 | 9–7 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | W Chengdu Rongcheng | 2–0 | 3–5 |
| 2026-05-19 | A | D Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 1–1 | 7–8 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Henan vs Dalian Young Boy?
- Our model gives Henan a 53% chance, the draw 25% and Dalian Young Boy 22%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Henan vs Dalian Young Boy?
- The corner model projects 9.9 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 54% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.