China Super League
Henan vs Qingdao West Coast Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-112%1-012%2-010%
Expected goals1.58 – 0.95
Avg goals2.53
Our pickHome
Henan 51%
Draw 26%
Qingdao West Coast 22%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 51% | 1.95 | 1.70 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 78% | 1.29 | 1.17 |
| Goals | 2.75 | Under +18% Value | 60% | 1.66 | 1.90 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 51% | 1.97 | 2.00 |
| Asian handicap | -1 | Away +13% Value | 64% | 1.56 | 1.95 |
| Corners | 10 | Under +10% Value | 56% | 1.80 | 1.83 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 12% | 8.03 | 7.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.70 · Draw 3.70 · Away 4.75 |
| Goals 2.75 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
| Asian handicap -0.75 | Home 1.85 · Away 1.95 |
| Corners 9.5 | Over 1.98 · Under 1.83 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
6.0
Henan
9.6
Expected corners
3.6
Qingdao West Coast
Henan corner stats · Qingdao West Coast corner stats
Corner line 10.00
Over 44%
Under 56%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 9.6 corners here; Henan are forecast for 6.
- Henan win 5.29 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.69 over their last 35.
- Henan games clear the 9.5 corner line 34% of the time.
- Across 34 recent matches, Qingdao West Coast games produced 9.24 corners on average — 4.26 taken by Qingdao West Coast themselves.
- Qingdao West Coast games clear the 9.5 corner line 44% of the time.
- Henan matches average 2.71 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% of them.
- Games involving Qingdao West Coast produce 2.56 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 62%.
- The last 5 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.2 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 9.4 across their last 5 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 2.75 goals at 60% probability.
Henan — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | H | D Dalian Young Boy | 1–1 | 3–5 |
| 2026-07-26 | A | W Shandong Taishan | 2–1 | 6–3 |
| 2026-07-21 | H | D Dalian Young Boy | 1–1 | 6–5 |
| 2026-07-17 | H | W Qingdao Hainiu | 5–1 | 6–2 |
| 2026-07-03 | A | L Yunnan Yukun | 1–2 | 1–8 |
| 2026-06-27 | H | L Shanghai Port | 1–2 | 2–3 |
| 2026-06-19 | A | W Jiangxi Lushan | 2–0 | 8–1 |
| 2026-05-30 | H | L Zhejiang | 0–2 | 7–1 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | W Beijing Guoan | 2–1 | 5–4 |
| 2026-05-19 | A | W Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 2–1 | 1–4 |
Qingdao West Coast — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | H | W Qingdao Hainiu | 2–0 | 3–1 |
| 2026-07-25 | A | W Liaoning Ironman | 1–0 | 10–2 |
| 2026-07-21 | A | L Chongqing Tonglianglong | 0–2 | 1–4 |
| 2026-07-17 | H | D Chengdu Rongcheng | 1–1 | 1–4 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | L Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 0–3 | 3–5 |
| 2026-07-04 | H | W Shanghai Port | 2–1 | 3–7 |
| 2026-06-28 | H | W Zhejiang | 3–1 | 7–7 |
| 2026-06-19 | A | D Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 1–1 | 4–1 |
| 2026-05-30 | H | D Shanghai Shenhua | 2–2 | 6–3 |
| 2026-05-24 | A | W Yunnan Yukun | 3–2 | 7–6 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Henan vs Qingdao West Coast?
- Our model gives Henan a 51% chance, the draw 26% and Qingdao West Coast 22%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Henan vs Qingdao West Coast?
- The corner model projects 9.6 total corners. Over 10.00 corners is rated at 44% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.