Scotland Premiership
Hibernian vs Motherwell Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.41 – 1.08
Avg goals2.48
Our pickHome
Hibernian 43%
Draw 29%
Motherwell 27%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 43% | 2.31 | 2.25 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 73% | 1.38 | 1.35 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under +10% Value | 55% | 1.83 | 2.00 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 51% | 1.96 | 1.67 |
| Asian handicap | -0.25 | Home | 51% | 1.97 | 1.98 |
| Corners | 10 | Under | 57% | 1.76 | 1.80 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 14% | 7.19 | 6.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.25 · Draw 3.40 · Away 3.10 |
| Goals 2.5 | Over 1.85 · Under 2.00 |
| Asian handicap -0.25 | Home 1.98 · Away 1.88 |
| Corners 10 | Over 2.00 · Under 1.80 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.7
Hibernian
9.5
Expected corners
4.8
Motherwell
Hibernian corner stats · Motherwell corner stats
Corner line 10.00
Over 43%
Under 57%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 9.5 corners here; Hibernian are forecast for 4.7.
- Across 49 recent matches, Hibernian games produced 10.43 corners on average — 5.02 taken by Hibernian themselves.
- Hibernian games clear the 9.5 corner line 63% of the time.
- Motherwell matches average 8.47 total corners (4.36 won per game) across their last 47 with corner data.
- Motherwell games clear the 9.5 corner line 38% of the time.
- Hibernian matches average 2.69 goals, with both teams scoring in 51% of them.
- Games involving Motherwell produce 2.55 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 43%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.4 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 9 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 2.50 goals at 55% probability.
Hibernian — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | H | W KF Malisheva | 4–1 | 7–0 |
| 2026-07-23 | A | L KF Malisheva | 0–2 | 6–3 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | W Brondby | 2–1 | 5–4 |
| 2026-07-01 | A | L Shamrock Rovers | 0–1 | 3–3 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | L Motherwell | 0–1 | 7–4 |
| 2026-05-14 | A | W Rangers | 2–1 | 3–9 |
| 2026-05-09 | A | W Falkirk | 3–1 | 5–6 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | L Celtic | 1–2 | 0–13 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | L Hearts | 1–2 | 0–11 |
| 2026-04-11 | A | L Aberdeen | 0–2 | 3–3 |
Motherwell — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | A | W HB Torshavn | 3–0 | 1–6 |
| 2026-07-24 | H | W HB Torshavn | 2–0 | 5–1 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | L Genk | 3–4 | 6–5 |
| 2026-07-05 | A | L AGF Aarhus | 0–4 | 1–6 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | W Hibernian | 1–0 | 4–7 |
| 2026-05-14 | H | L Celtic | 2–3 | 4–3 |
| 2026-05-10 | H | D Hearts | 1–1 | 2–6 |
| 2026-05-02 | A | L Falkirk | 0–1 | 5–2 |
| 2026-04-26 | A | W Rangers | 3–2 | 5–7 |
| 2026-04-11 | A | L Hearts | 1–3 | 4–6 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Hibernian vs Motherwell?
- Our model gives Hibernian a 43% chance, the draw 29% and Motherwell 27%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Hibernian vs Motherwell?
- The corner model projects 9.5 total corners. Over 10.00 corners is rated at 43% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.