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Croatia HNL

HNK Gorica vs NK Osijek Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.32 – 0.92
Avg goals2.24
Our pickHome
HNK Gorica 44% Draw 31% NK Osijek 25%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home +6% Value 44% 2.25 2.38
Double chance – Home or draw 75% 1.33 1.33
Goals 2.25 Under 55% 1.82 1.88
Both teams to score – No 55% 1.83 1.83
Asian handicap -0.25 Home +6% Value 52% 1.91 2.03
Corners 9.5 Over 51% 1.97 1.95
Correct score – 1-1 14% 7.02 6.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.38  ·  Draw 3.00  ·  Away 2.80
Goals 2.25 Over 1.93  ·  Under 1.88
Asian handicap -0.25 Home 2.03  ·  Away 1.78
Corners 9.5 Over 1.95  ·  Under 1.85

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.9 HNK Gorica
9.6 Expected corners
4.7 NK Osijek

HNK Gorica corner stats · NK Osijek corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 51% Under 49%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 9.6 corners here; HNK Gorica are forecast for 4.9.
  • Across 48 recent matches, HNK Gorica games produced 8.63 corners on average — 4.21 taken by HNK Gorica themselves.
  • HNK Gorica games clear the 9.5 corner line 40% of the time.
  • NK Osijek matches average 9.88 total corners (4.83 won per game) across their last 40 with corner data.
  • NK Osijek games clear the 9.5 corner line 45% of the time.
  • HNK Gorica matches average 2.65 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
  • Games involving NK Osijek produce 2.23 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 35%.
  • The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.9 goals per game.
  • Corners have averaged 9.2 across their last 10 direct meetings.
  • The model leans Under 2.25 goals at 55% probability.

HNK Gorica — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-24 H L Shakhtar Donetsk 0–2 4–8
2026-07-19 A L St Pauli 1–2 4–9
2026-07-16 H W Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi 1–0 4–7
2026-07-13 H L Goztepe 0–2 3–3
2026-07-05 H W Zorya 2–1 5–4
2026-05-23 A L HNK Rijeka 0–2 3–7
2026-05-16 H W NK Osijek 2–0 4–9
2026-05-11 A L Slaven Belupo 0–1 2–2
2026-05-02 H L Dinamo Zagreb 1–2 8–8
2026-04-28 H W Istra 1961 1–0 11–5

NK Osijek — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 H L Caykur Rizespor 1–3 2–3
2026-07-19 H W Kispest Honved 2–1 3–6
2026-05-22 H W Slaven Belupo 2–0 16–2
2026-05-16 A L HNK Gorica 0–2 9–4
2026-05-10 H L Istra 1961 0–1 1–4
2026-05-03 A L Vukovar 1991 0–1 4–7
2026-04-26 H D NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0–0 9–9
2026-04-22 A W Hajduk Split 1–0 4–2
2026-04-18 H L NK Varazdin 0–2 8–3
2026-04-12 A W HNK Rijeka 2–0 3–6

Match questions

Who is predicted to win HNK Gorica vs NK Osijek?
Our model gives HNK Gorica a 44% chance, the draw 31% and NK Osijek 25%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in HNK Gorica vs NK Osijek?
The corner model projects 9.6 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 51% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.