Croatia HNL
HNK Rijeka vs NK Rudes Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-0
Expected goals1.54 – 0.77
Avg goals2.30
Our pickHome
HNK Rijeka 54%
Draw 28%
NK Rudes 17%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 54% | 1.84 | 1.25 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 83% | 1.21 | 1.01 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 60% | 1.68 | 1.88 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 57% | 1.76 | 1.73 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 58% | 1.71 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-0 | 14% | 7.05 | 23.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.25 · Draw 5.25 · Away 9.00 |
| Goals 3 | Over 1.93 · Under 1.88 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
6.8
HNK Rijeka
10.3
Expected corners
3.5
NK Rudes
HNK Rijeka corner stats · NK Rudes corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 58%
Under 42%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 10.3 corners here; HNK Rijeka are forecast for 6.8.
- HNK Rijeka win 5.76 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.19 over their last 59.
- HNK Rijeka games clear the 9.5 corner line 46% of the time.
- Across 39 recent matches, NK Rudes games produced 9.64 corners on average — 4.97 taken by NK Rudes themselves.
- NK Rudes games clear the 9.5 corner line 49% of the time.
- HNK Rijeka matches average 2.32 goals, with both teams scoring in 39% of them.
- Games involving NK Rudes produce 2.56 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 44%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.9 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 9.9 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 2.50 goals at 60% probability.
HNK Rijeka — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | A | W Derry City | 1–0 | 5–1 |
| 2026-07-24 | H | W Derry City | 1–0 | 13–4 |
| 2026-07-04 | A | W NK Radomlje | 2–0 | 6–1 |
| 2026-07-01 | A | W NK Brinje Grosuplje | 3–0 | 9–4 |
| 2026-06-28 | A | W NK Bravo | 2–1 | 4–1 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | W HNK Gorica | 2–0 | 7–3 |
| 2026-05-18 | A | D Istra 1961 | 0–0 | 4–7 |
| 2026-05-14 | A | L Dinamo Zagreb | 0–2 | 3–5 |
| 2026-05-09 | H | W Vukovar 1991 | 3–0 | 9–1 |
| 2026-05-03 | A | W NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 3–0 | 1–1 |
NK Rudes — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | D Goztepe | 1–1 | 2–4 |
| 2026-07-19 | A | L Shakhtar Donetsk | 0–5 | 3–7 |
| 2026-07-06 | A | W Olimpija Ljubljana | 3–1 | 8–3 |
| 2026-05-29 | H | W NK Sesvete | 3–1 | 4–5 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | W NK Dugopolje | 3–0 | 1–6 |
| 2026-05-15 | H | L HNK Cibalia | 2–3 | 7–1 |
| 2026-05-08 | A | W Karlovac | 3–0 | 2–2 |
| 2026-05-02 | H | D NK Dubrava Zagreb | 1–1 | 10–4 |
| 2026-04-26 | A | W NK Croatia Zmijavci | 2–0 | 4–8 |
| 2026-04-19 | H | W Hrvace | 2–1 | 3–8 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win HNK Rijeka vs NK Rudes?
- Our model gives HNK Rijeka a 54% chance, the draw 28% and NK Rudes 17%. The most likely score is 1-0.
- How many corners are expected in HNK Rijeka vs NK Rudes?
- The corner model projects 10.3 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 58% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.