Norway Division 1
Hodd vs Moss Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.87 – 1.44
Avg goals3.31
Our pickHome
Hodd 47%
Draw 24%
Moss 29%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home +5% Value | 47% | 2.13 | 2.25 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 76% | 1.32 | 1.24 |
| Goals | 3.25 | Under | 53% | 1.90 | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 65% | 1.53 | 1.40 |
| Asian handicap | -0.25 | Home | 53% | 1.87 | 2.00 |
| Corners | 11.5 | Under +11% Value | 56% | 1.78 | 1.80 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 11% | 9.23 | 8.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.25 · Draw 3.70 · Away 2.75 |
| Goals 3.25 | Over 1.95 · Under 1.85 |
| Asian handicap -0.25 | Home 2.00 · Away 1.80 |
| Corners 11 | Over 2.00 · Under 1.80 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.6
Hodd
11.0
Expected corners
6.3
Moss
Hodd corner stats · Moss corner stats
Corner line 11.50
Over 44%
Under 56%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 11 corners here; Hodd are forecast for 4.6.
- Across 33 recent matches, Hodd games produced 11.18 corners on average — 4.45 taken by Hodd themselves.
- Hodd games clear the 9.5 corner line 73% of the time.
- Moss matches average 10.03 total corners (5.18 won per game) across their last 40 with corner data.
- Moss games clear the 9.5 corner line 50% of the time.
- Hodd matches average 2.91 goals, with both teams scoring in 58% of them.
- Games involving Moss produce 3.45 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 75%.
- The last 7 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.9 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 9.6 across their last 7 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 3.25 goals at 53% probability.
Hodd — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | A | L Stabaek | 0–6 | 2–5 |
| 2026-07-04 | H | W Stromsgodset | 4–3 | 1–9 |
| 2026-06-27 | A | W Lyn 1896 | 4–1 | 2–8 |
| 2026-06-21 | A | D Odd BK | 0–0 | 2–7 |
| 2026-06-14 | H | L Kongsvinger | 1–2 | 7–8 |
| 2026-05-31 | A | L Bryne | 0–1 | 4–9 |
| 2026-05-25 | H | W Egersunds | 3–1 | 4–6 |
| 2026-05-21 | A | L Ranheim | 2–3 | 2–8 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | D Sogndal | 2–2 | 3–13 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | W Strommen | 2–1 | 6–3 |
Moss — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | H | L Raufoss | 1–2 | 12–5 |
| 2026-07-04 | A | L Egersunds | 0–3 | 0–9 |
| 2026-06-27 | A | L Strommen | 2–3 | 4–4 |
| 2026-06-21 | H | L Sandnes Ulf | 1–4 | 7–4 |
| 2026-06-14 | A | W Sogndal | 4–2 | 7–7 |
| 2026-05-30 | H | D Stabaek | 2–2 | 7–4 |
| 2026-05-25 | A | L Haugesund | 1–3 | 11–9 |
| 2026-05-21 | H | D Stromsgodset | 1–1 | 3–14 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | W Odd BK | 3–2 | 7–3 |
| 2026-05-10 | H | L Bryne | 2–3 | 11–3 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Hodd vs Moss?
- Our model gives Hodd a 47% chance, the draw 24% and Moss 29%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Hodd vs Moss?
- The corner model projects 11.0 total corners. Over 11.50 corners is rated at 44% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.