USA NWSL Women
Houston Dash (W) vs Gotham FC (W) Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals0.87 – 1.50
Avg goals2.37
Our pickAway
Houston Dash (W) 21%
Draw 29%
Gotham FC (W) 51%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 51% | 1.97 | 1.53 |
| Double chance | – | Draw or away | 79% | 1.26 | 1.09 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 58% | 1.73 | 1.88 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 54% | 1.87 | 1.80 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 63% | 1.59 | 1.88 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.45 | 8.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 5.00 · Draw 3.80 · Away 1.53 |
| Goals 2.75 | Over 1.93 · Under 1.88 |
| Corners 9 | Over 1.93 · Under 1.88 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
3.0
Houston Dash (W)
8.5
Expected corners
5.4
Gotham FC (W)
Houston Dash (W) corner stats · Gotham FC (W) corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 37%
Under 63%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 8.5 corners here; Houston Dash (W) are forecast for 3.
- Across 29 recent matches, Houston Dash (W) games produced 9.76 corners on average — 3.55 taken by Houston Dash (W) themselves.
- Houston Dash (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 48% of the time.
- Gotham FC (W) matches average 8.37 total corners (5.03 won per game) across their last 35 with corner data.
- Gotham FC (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 40% of the time.
- Houston Dash (W) matches average 2.55 goals, with both teams scoring in 48% of them.
- Games involving Gotham FC (W) produce 2.37 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 37%.
- The model leans Under 2.50 goals at 58% probability.
Houston Dash (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | W Bay FC (W) | 1–0 | 4–8 |
| 2026-07-19 | A | D Racing Louisville FC (W) | 1–1 | 1–8 |
| 2026-07-13 | A | D Denver Summit FC (W) | 2–2 | 1–6 |
| 2026-07-04 | A | L Washington Spirit (W) | 1–2 | 0–4 |
| 2026-06-01 | A | L Gotham FC (W) | 0–1 | 1–4 |
| 2026-05-24 | H | W Angel City FC (W) | 2–1 | 1–6 |
| 2026-05-21 | H | D San Diego Wave (W) | 2–2 | 2–9 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | L Kansas City Current (W) | 0–3 | 2–5 |
| 2026-05-10 | H | L Denver Summit FC (W) | 1–4 | 3–8 |
| 2026-05-07 | A | L Utah Royals (W) | 0–2 | 4–15 |
Gotham FC (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | A | W Bay FC (W) | 1–0 | 6–4 |
| 2026-07-25 | A | D Portland Thorns (W) | 2–2 | 8–3 |
| 2026-07-19 | H | W Seattle Reign (W) | 3–2 | 4–1 |
| 2026-07-16 | H | W Washington Spirit (W) | 1–0 | 2–4 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | W Utah Royals (W) | 3–1 | 3–1 |
| 2026-07-05 | A | L San Diego Wave (W) | 0–2 | 6–0 |
| 2026-06-27 | H | W Kansas City Current (W) | 2–0 | 3–5 |
| 2026-06-01 | H | W Houston Dash (W) | 1–0 | 4–1 |
| 2026-05-24 | H | L Pachuca (W) | 0–3 | 1–4 |
| 2026-05-21 | A | L Club America (W) | 1–4 | 7–6 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Houston Dash (W) vs Gotham FC (W)?
- Our model gives Houston Dash (W) a 21% chance, the draw 29% and Gotham FC (W) 51%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Houston Dash (W) vs Gotham FC (W)?
- The corner model projects 8.5 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 37% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.