MathPredictions
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Finland Kakkonen Group A

HPS vs HIFK Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.52 – 1.90
Avg goals3.41
Our pickAway
HPS 30% Draw 24% HIFK 46%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 46% 2.19 1.62
Double chance – Home or away 76% 1.32 1.14
Goals 3.5 Under +7% Value 56% 1.80 1.93
Both teams to score – Yes 67% 1.49 1.40
Asian handicap 0.5 Home +7% Value 54% 1.84 1.98
Corners 9.5 Over 77% 1.30 –
Correct score – 1-1 10% 9.60 10.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 3.90  ·  Draw 4.20  ·  Away 1.62
Goals 3.5 Over 1.88  ·  Under 1.93
Asian handicap 0.5 Home 1.98  ·  Away 1.83

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

5.9 HPS
12.3 Expected corners
6.4 HIFK

HPS corner stats · HIFK corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 77% Under 23%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 12.3 corners in this match, with HPS winning 5.9 of them.
  • HPS win 6.00 corners per game, with match totals averaging 12.35 over their last 23.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 70% of HPS matches.
  • Across 25 recent matches, HIFK games produced 10.44 corners on average — 5.48 taken by HIFK themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 52% of HIFK matches.
  • Games involving HPS produce 3.65 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 61%.
  • HIFK matches average 3.84 goals, with both teams scoring in 68% of them.
  • Across their previous 3 meetings, these sides averaged 2.7 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 3 meetings with corner data averaged 7.7 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 3.50 (56%).

HPS — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 A L Atlantis 3–5 12–10
2026-07-18 H W MyPa 5–2 9–7
2026-07-11 A L PEPO 0–2 6–11
2026-07-04 H W Reipas 3–2 2–3
2026-06-27 A W Puiu 2–0 3–8
2026-06-13 H L Kiffen 1–2 2–8
2026-06-06 A W Union Plaani 2–0 8–9
2026-06-01 H D PPJ 2–2 3–4
2026-05-23 A W HIFK 2–0 7–7
2026-05-09 A W MyPa 3–1 5–6

HIFK — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 A D Kiffen 1–1 8–8
2026-07-17 H L PPJ 1–2 5–4
2026-07-12 A D Reipas 1–1 3–8
2026-07-04 H W MyPa 4–0 6–6
2026-06-13 H W PEPO 2–1 7–9
2026-05-29 A W Puiu 2–0 3–2
2026-05-23 H L HPS 0–2 7–7
2026-05-19 H D Kiffen 3–3 5–7
2026-05-13 H L JaPS 1–3 6–3
2026-05-09 A D PPJ 1–1 2–7

Match questions

Who is predicted to win HPS vs HIFK?
Our model gives HPS a 30% chance, the draw 24% and HIFK 46%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in HPS vs HIFK?
The corner model projects 12.3 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 77% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.