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Australia NPL Victoria

Hume City vs Melbourne City NPL Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.75 – 1.49
Avg goals3.25
Our pickHome
Hume City 43% Draw 25% Melbourne City NPL 32%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 43% 2.33 1.73
Double chance – Home or away 75% 1.34 1.18
Goals 3.25 Under 54% 1.85 2.03
Both teams to score – Yes 65% 1.54 1.53
Asian handicap -0.75 Away +22% Value 63% 1.58 1.85
Corners 10 Under 52% 1.93 1.98
Correct score – 1-1 11% 8.92 8.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.73  ·  Draw 3.80  ·  Away 3.70
Goals 3 Over 1.78  ·  Under 2.03
Asian handicap -0.75 Home 1.95  ·  Away 1.85
Corners 10 Over 1.83  ·  Under 1.98

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

5.3 Hume City
9.9 Expected corners
4.6 Melbourne City NPL

Hume City corner stats · Melbourne City NPL corner stats

Corner line 10.00
Over 48% Under 52%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 9.9 corners here; Hume City are forecast for 5.3.
  • Across 26 recent matches, Hume City games produced 10.15 corners on average — 5.12 taken by Hume City themselves.
  • Hume City games clear the 9.5 corner line 58% of the time.
  • Melbourne City NPL matches average 9.96 total corners (4.96 won per game) across their last 26 with corner data.
  • Melbourne City NPL games clear the 9.5 corner line 58% of the time.
  • Hume City matches average 3.19 goals, with both teams scoring in 73% of them.
  • Games involving Melbourne City NPL produce 3.38 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 58%.
  • The model leans Under 3.25 goals at 54% probability.

Hume City — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-24 A L St Albans Saints 2–3 2–5
2026-07-18 H L Oakleigh Cannons 0–1 2–4
2026-07-10 A L Preston Lions 1–2 7–8
2026-07-04 H D Dandenong City 0–0 3–5
2026-06-27 A W Dandenong Thunder 3–1 8–0
2026-06-20 H W Green Gully 3–2 6–4
2026-06-05 A W Bentleigh Greens 5–1 8–9
2026-05-30 H D South Melbourne 1–1 5–5
2026-05-23 A W Altona Magic 3–1 4–5
2026-05-16 H W Avondale 3–0 3–7

Melbourne City NPL — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 H L Avondale 2–3 3–8
2026-07-18 A L Caroline Springs George Cross 0–1 7–2
2026-07-11 H D Heidelberg Utd 2–2 0–9
2026-07-04 A W Altona Magic 3–0 6–3
2026-06-26 A W St Albans Saints 2–0 4–12
2026-06-19 A L Oakleigh Cannons 1–3 5–2
2026-05-30 H L Dandenong City 0–1 2–4
2026-05-24 H W Dandenong Thunder 2–0 4–8
2026-05-15 A W Green Gully 3–1 8–4
2026-05-08 A W Bentleigh Greens 7–0 8–2

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Hume City vs Melbourne City NPL?
Our model gives Hume City a 43% chance, the draw 25% and Melbourne City NPL 32%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Hume City vs Melbourne City NPL?
The corner model projects 9.9 total corners. Over 10.00 corners is rated at 48% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.