Australia New South Wales League 1
Hurstville FC vs Northern Tigers Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
FT 1–3 (HT 1–2)
Corners9–8
Yellow cards1–1
Shots on target6–7
Shots off target18–6
Attacks127–81
Dangerous attacks126–66
Possession0%–0%
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.21 – 1.54
Avg goals2.74
Our pickAway
Hurstville FC 29%
Draw 28%
Northern Tigers 44%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 44% | 2.29 | 1.95 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 72% | 1.38 | 1.18 |
| Goals | 2.75 | Under +9% Value | 54% | 1.84 | 1.95 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 56% | 1.78 | – |
| Asian handicap | 0.25 | Away | 51% | 1.97 | 2.00 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 50% | 1.98 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 +5% Value | 13% | 7.62 | 8.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 3.00 · Draw 3.80 · Away 1.95 |
| Goals 2.75 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
| Asian handicap 0.5 | Home 1.80 · Away 2.00 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.0
Hurstville FC
9.5
Expected corners
4.5
Northern Tigers
Hurstville FC corner stats · Northern Tigers corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 50%
Under 50%
Match trends
- Our model projects 9.5 corners in this match, with Hurstville FC winning 5 of them.
- Across 28 recent matches, Hurstville FC games produced 9.93 corners on average — 5.54 taken by Hurstville FC themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 54% of Hurstville FC matches.
- Northern Tigers matches average 10.18 total corners (5.64 won per game) across their last 28 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 54% of Northern Tigers matches.
- Games involving Hurstville FC produce 3.18 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 75%.
- Northern Tigers matches average 2.86 goals, with both teams scoring in 54% of them.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.75 (54%).
Hurstville FC — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | H | L Northern Tigers | 1–3 | 9–8 |
| 2026-07-25 | A | W Macarthur Rams | 2–1 | 6–7 |
| 2026-07-17 | H | W Dulwich Hill | 3–1 | 9–8 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | D Hakoah Sydney City East | 1–1 | 10–5 |
| 2026-07-03 | H | L Canterbury Bankstown FC | 1–2 | 6–5 |
| 2026-06-27 | H | W Hills United FC | 2–1 | 2–1 |
| 2026-06-13 | H | D Western City Rangers | 1–1 | 10–3 |
| 2026-06-06 | A | L Inter Lions | 1–2 | 5–1 |
| 2026-05-30 | H | W Rydalmere Lions FC | 1–0 | 5–4 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | W Newcastle Jets NPL | 1–0 | 3–9 |
Northern Tigers — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | A | W Hurstville FC | 3–1 | 8–9 |
| 2026-07-25 | H | L Blacktown Spartans | 0–3 | 7–4 |
| 2026-07-19 | A | W Central Coast Mariners NPL | 2–1 | 5–3 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | D Newcastle Jets NPL | 2–2 | 8–4 |
| 2026-07-04 | A | W Hills United FC | 2–1 | 2–7 |
| 2026-06-27 | H | W Dulwich Hill | 3–1 | 8–2 |
| 2026-06-20 | A | L Hakoah Sydney City East | 0–1 | 6–2 |
| 2026-06-13 | H | W Inter Lions | 1–0 | 8–3 |
| 2026-06-06 | A | D Bankstown City Lions FC | 1–1 | 2–4 |
| 2026-05-31 | A | W Prospect United | 3–0 | 3–0 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Hurstville FC vs Northern Tigers?
- Our model gives Hurstville FC a 29% chance, the draw 28% and Northern Tigers 44%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Hurstville FC vs Northern Tigers?
- The corner model projects 9.5 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 50% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.