MathPredictions
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Uruguay Primera Division Amateur

IA Sud America vs Durazno Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.12 – 0.98
Avg goals2.10
Our pickHome
IA Sud America 37% Draw 33% Durazno 30%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 37% 2.69 2.45
Double chance – Home or draw 70% 1.43 1.39
Goals 2.5 Under 65% 1.54 1.95
Both teams to score – No 57% 1.77 –
Correct score – 1-1 15% 6.76 7.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.45  ·  Draw 3.20  ·  Away 2.63
Goals 2 Over 1.85  ·  Under 1.95

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

  • Across 6 recent matches, IA Sud America games produced 9.83 corners on average — 4.83 taken by IA Sud America themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 33% of IA Sud America matches.
  • Durazno matches average 8.56 total corners (4.11 won per game) across their last 9 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 44% of Durazno matches.
  • Games involving IA Sud America produce 1.83 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 17%.
  • Durazno matches average 1.78 goals, with both teams scoring in 22% of them.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.50 (65%).

IA Sud America — last 6 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-06-14 H D CA Los Gorriones 0–0 4–5
2026-06-08 H W Villa Teresa 3–1 5–4
2026-06-03 A L CA Terremoto 0–1 6–4
2026-05-25 H W Salto FC 1–0 5–8
2026-05-09 H W Villa Espanola 2–0 2–7
2026-05-03 A L Sportivo Bella Italia 0–3 7–2

Durazno — last 9 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-28 H D Deportivo LSM 0–0 4–6
2026-06-28 A L Salus 0–1 7–8
2026-06-14 A L CA Lito 0–1 5–4
2026-05-20 H L Platense Montevideo 0–1 6–1
2026-05-13 A L Deportivo LSM 0–1 3–2
2025-09-20 A W Platense Montevideo 2–0 2–2
2025-09-14 H L Paysandu FC 1–4 4–0
2025-08-08 H L Liverpool Montevideo 1–3 5–8
2025-08-04 A W Deportivo Italiano 1–0 1–9

Match questions

Who is predicted to win IA Sud America vs Durazno?
Our model gives IA Sud America a 37% chance, the draw 33% and Durazno 30%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.