Finland Veikkausliiga
IF Gnistan vs KuPS Kuopio Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.20 – 1.54
Avg goals2.74
Our pickAway
IF Gnistan 28%
Draw 28%
KuPS Kuopio 44%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 44% | 2.27 | 2.05 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 72% | 1.38 | 1.22 |
| Goals | 2.75 | Under +7% Value | 54% | 1.84 | 1.98 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 56% | 1.78 | 1.62 |
| Asian handicap | 0.25 | Away | 51% | 1.96 | 1.85 |
| Corners | 10 | Over +12% Value | 60% | 1.67 | 1.90 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.62 | 7.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 3.00 · Draw 3.50 · Away 2.05 |
| Goals 2.75 | Over 1.83 · Under 1.98 |
| Asian handicap 0.25 | Home 1.95 · Away 1.85 |
| Corners 10 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.1
IF Gnistan
10.8
Expected corners
6.7
KuPS Kuopio
IF Gnistan corner stats · KuPS Kuopio corner stats
Corner line 10.00
Over 60%
Under 40%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 10.8 corners here; IF Gnistan are forecast for 4.1.
- Across 43 recent matches, IF Gnistan games produced 11.16 corners on average — 5.07 taken by IF Gnistan themselves.
- IF Gnistan games clear the 9.5 corner line 60% of the time.
- KuPS Kuopio matches average 10.09 total corners (5.24 won per game) across their last 58 with corner data.
- KuPS Kuopio games clear the 9.5 corner line 50% of the time.
- IF Gnistan matches average 3.12 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% of them.
- Games involving KuPS Kuopio produce 2.52 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 45%.
- The last 8 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.1 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 9.9 across their last 8 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 2.75 goals at 54% probability.
IF Gnistan — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | W FC Inter | 2–1 | 3–4 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | W AC Oulu | 2–0 | 2–10 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | W IFK Mariehamn | 4–2 | 8–2 |
| 2026-07-04 | A | L Lahti | 0–1 | 3–10 |
| 2026-06-28 | H | D VPS Vaasa | 1–1 | 3–4 |
| 2026-06-24 | A | D FF Jaro | 1–1 | 6–6 |
| 2026-06-18 | H | W Lahti | 1–0 | 2–6 |
| 2026-06-14 | A | W IFK Mariehamn | 3–0 | 3–10 |
| 2026-05-30 | H | W SJK | 3–2 | 2–9 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | L FC Ilves | 0–2 | 4–5 |
KuPS Kuopio — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | H | L Sabah | 0–2 | 8–6 |
| 2026-07-25 | H | W VPS Vaasa | 3–1 | 1–4 |
| 2026-07-22 | A | L Sabah | 0–1 | 0–5 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | W SJK | 2–0 | 6–8 |
| 2026-07-14 | H | L Vardar Skopje | 0–2 | 9–5 |
| 2026-07-08 | A | W Vardar Skopje | 2–0 | 4–3 |
| 2026-06-27 | A | W HJK Helsinki | 4–0 | 9–8 |
| 2026-06-23 | H | W FC Ilves | 4–3 | 4–4 |
| 2026-06-17 | A | W TPS | 2–1 | 4–4 |
| 2026-06-13 | A | D VPS Vaasa | 1–1 | 10–2 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win IF Gnistan vs KuPS Kuopio?
- Our model gives IF Gnistan a 28% chance, the draw 28% and KuPS Kuopio 44%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in IF Gnistan vs KuPS Kuopio?
- The corner model projects 10.8 total corners. Over 10.00 corners is rated at 60% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.