Sweden 2.div Norrland
IFK Luleå vs IFK Östersund Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals2.11 – 1.43
Avg goals3.53
Our pickHome
IFK Luleå 52%
Draw 23%
IFK Östersund 25%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 52% | 1.91 | 1.70 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 77% | 1.29 | 1.16 |
| Goals | 3.25 | Over | 53% | 1.90 | 1.88 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 68% | 1.48 | – |
| Asian handicap | -0.75 | Away | 53% | 1.88 | 1.85 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 10% | 10.35 | 9.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.70 · Draw 3.90 · Away 3.60 |
| Goals 3.25 | Over 1.88 · Under 1.93 |
| Asian handicap -0.75 | Home 1.95 · Away 1.85 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- Across 8 recent matches, IFK Luleå games produced 8.75 corners on average — 5.13 taken by IFK Luleå themselves.
- IFK Luleå games clear the 9.5 corner line 38% of the time.
- IFK Östersund matches average 8.50 total corners (5.50 won per game) across their last 6 with corner data.
- IFK Östersund games clear the 9.5 corner line 33% of the time.
- IFK Luleå matches average 4.63 goals, with both teams scoring in 88% of them.
- Games involving IFK Östersund produce 3.83 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 67%.
- The last 5 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.6 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 12.4 across their last 5 direct meetings.
- The model leans Over 3.25 goals at 53% probability.
IFK Luleå — last 8 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 | A | W Bodens BK | 4–1 | 3–4 |
| 2026-06-13 | H | L Storfors AIK | 0–1 | 11–2 |
| 2026-05-30 | H | W IFK Umeå | 6–1 | 3–5 |
| 2026-04-18 | A | W IFK Umeå | 2–1 | 5–5 |
| 2025-10-11 | H | L IFK Östersund | 3–4 | 3–5 |
| 2025-10-05 | H | D Skellefteå FF | 2–2 | 9–2 |
| 2025-08-16 | A | L Skellefteå FF | 1–3 | 3–4 |
| 2025-08-14 | H | L Piteå IF | 1–5 | 4–2 |
IFK Östersund — last 6 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | H | D Kubikenborgs IF | 1–1 | 6–3 |
| 2025-11-02 | H | D Falu BS FK | 1–1 | 3–7 |
| 2025-10-25 | A | L Ragsveds IF | 0–4 | 7–1 |
| 2025-10-11 | A | W IFK Luleå | 4–3 | 5–3 |
| 2025-10-05 | H | L Piteå IF | 0–3 | 8–3 |
| 2025-09-07 | H | W Gottne IF | 3–2 | 4–1 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win IFK Luleå vs IFK Östersund?
- Our model gives IFK Luleå a 52% chance, the draw 23% and IFK Östersund 25%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.