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Brazil Paulista Serie B

Independente SP U23 vs Flamengo SP U23 Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.11 – 1.01
Avg goals2.12
Our pickHome
Independente SP U23 36% Draw 32% Flamengo SP U23 31%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 36% 2.76 1.83
Double chance – Home or draw 69% 1.46 1.17
Goals 2.5 Under 64% 1.55 1.83
Both teams to score – No 56% 1.79 –
Corners 9.5 Under 57% 1.75 –
Correct score – 1-1 15% 6.76 7.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.83  ·  Draw 3.20  ·  Away 3.80
Goals 2.25 Over 1.98  ·  Under 1.83

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.4 Independente SP U23
8.9 Expected corners
4.4 Flamengo SP U23

Independente SP U23 corner stats · Flamengo SP U23 corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 43% Under 57%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 8.9 corners here; Independente SP U23 are forecast for 4.4.
  • Across 10 recent matches, Independente SP U23 games produced 7.70 corners on average — 3.80 taken by Independente SP U23 themselves.
  • Independente SP U23 games clear the 9.5 corner line 20% of the time.
  • Flamengo SP U23 matches average 9.15 total corners (4.85 won per game) across their last 13 with corner data.
  • Flamengo SP U23 games clear the 9.5 corner line 46% of the time.
  • Independente SP U23 matches average 2.20 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
  • Games involving Flamengo SP U23 produce 1.92 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 39%.
  • The model leans Under 2.50 goals at 64% probability.

Independente SP U23 — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-19 H W SC Paulinense U23 2–1 2–3
2026-07-12 A W SC Paulinense U23 1–0 5–10
2026-07-05 H W Tupa U23 2–0 3–2
2026-06-28 A W Tupa U23 2–0 3–3
2026-06-14 A L Sao Carlos U23 0–2 5–2
2026-06-07 H L Santacruzense U23 0–1 7–2
2026-05-24 A W Matonense U23 2–0 4–4
2026-05-10 H W Sao Carlos U23 2–1 1–4
2025-08-10 H D Tanabi U23 1–1 1–2
2025-08-03 A W Mauaense U23 3–1 7–7

Flamengo SP U23 — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-19 H W Matonense U23 3–1 8–3
2026-07-12 A W Matonense U23 1–0 4–6
2026-07-05 H W Audax SP U23 2–1 2–2
2026-06-28 A D Audax SP U23 0–0 7–5
2026-06-21 A W Audax SP U23 1–0 2–7
2026-06-14 H W Paulinia Universitario U23 1–0 6–1
2026-06-08 A W SC Paulinense U23 1–0 4–4
2026-06-01 A L Guarulhos U23 0–1 4–7
2026-05-24 H W Votoraty U23 2–1 15–5
2026-05-17 H W Audax SP U23 2–1 4–6

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Independente SP U23 vs Flamengo SP U23?
Our model gives Independente SP U23 a 36% chance, the draw 32% and Flamengo SP U23 31%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Independente SP U23 vs Flamengo SP U23?
The corner model projects 8.9 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 43% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.