MathPredictions
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Ecuador LigaPro Serie A

Independiente del Valle vs Deportivo Cuenca Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 2-0
Expected goals2.29 – 0.75
Avg goals3.04
Our pickHome
Independiente del Valle 71% Draw 19% Deportivo Cuenca 10%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 71% 1.40 1.33
Double chance – Home or draw 90% 1.11 1.06
Goals 2.75 Over 53% 1.87 1.90
Both teams to score – No 52% 1.93 1.62
Asian handicap -1.5 Away 51% 1.95 1.85
Corners 10 Under +7% Value 57% 1.74 1.90
Correct score – 2-0 +415% Value 13% 7.96 41.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.33  ·  Draw 5.25  ·  Away 8.00
Goals 2.75 Over 1.90  ·  Under 1.90
Asian handicap -1.5 Home 1.95  ·  Away 1.85
Corners 9.5 Over 1.90  ·  Under 1.90

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

6.2 Independiente del Valle
9.5 Expected corners
3.3 Deportivo Cuenca

Independiente del Valle corner stats · Deportivo Cuenca corner stats

Corner line 10.00
Over 43% Under 57%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 9.5 corners here; Independiente del Valle are forecast for 6.2.
  • Independiente del Valle win 6.43 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.79 over their last 58.
  • Independiente del Valle games clear the 9.5 corner line 53% of the time.
  • Across 53 recent matches, Deportivo Cuenca games produced 8.72 corners on average — 4.92 taken by Deportivo Cuenca themselves.
  • Deportivo Cuenca games clear the 9.5 corner line 32% of the time.
  • Independiente del Valle matches average 2.76 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% of them.
  • Games involving Deportivo Cuenca produce 2.19 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 42%.
  • The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.6 goals per game.
  • Corners have averaged 8.7 across their last 10 direct meetings.
  • The model leans Over 2.75 goals at 53% probability.

Independiente del Valle — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-30 H W Manta FC 1–0 4–1
2026-07-27 A W Orense 3–2 4–11
2026-07-23 H W Tecnico Universitario 3–0 5–4
2026-07-20 H W Emelec 6–1 6–0
2026-07-17 A W SD Aucas 3–0 3–2
2026-07-12 A W Mushuc Runa 4–1 6–6
2026-07-09 A W CD Santo Domingo 2–0 4–1
2026-07-04 H W Manta FC 4–0 6–1
2026-06-01 A W Guayaquil City 4–2 4–0
2026-05-28 H W Rosario Central 1–0 9–2

Deportivo Cuenca — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-28 H W Emelec 2–1 12–4
2026-07-23 A L Macara 0–3 3–4
2026-07-19 H L Universidad Catolica del Ecuador 0–2 4–4
2026-07-16 A D Leones FC 1–1 4–5
2026-07-13 H L SD Aucas 0–1 5–4
2026-07-05 A L Barcelona Guayaquil 0–2 4–3
2026-06-03 A D CD La Union 0–0 6–1
2026-05-31 H W Delfin SC 1–0 10–2
2026-05-27 A L Santos 0–3 4–3
2026-05-24 H D LDU Quito 1–1 3–2

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Independiente del Valle vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Our model gives Independiente del Valle a 71% chance, the draw 19% and Deportivo Cuenca 10%. The most likely score is 2-0.
How many corners are expected in Independiente del Valle vs Deportivo Cuenca?
The corner model projects 9.5 total corners. Over 10.00 corners is rated at 43% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.