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Colombia Primera A

Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Cali Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.43 – 0.86
Avg goals2.29
Our pickHome
Independiente Medellin 49% Draw 29% Deportivo Cali 21%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 49% 2.03 2.00
Double chance – Home or draw 79% 1.27 1.23
Goals 2.25 Under 53% 1.87 1.90
Both teams to score – No 55% 1.82 1.83
Asian handicap -0.5 Away 51% 1.97 1.78
Corners 9 Over +8% Value 58% 1.72 1.88
Correct score – 1-1 14% 7.31 6.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.00  ·  Draw 3.20  ·  Away 4.00
Goals 2.25 Over 1.90  ·  Under 1.90
Asian handicap -0.5 Home 2.03  ·  Away 1.78
Corners 9 Over 1.88  ·  Under 1.93

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

6.0 Independiente Medellin
9.6 Expected corners
3.6 Deportivo Cali

Independiente Medellin corner stats · Deportivo Cali corner stats

Corner line 9.00
Over 58% Under 42%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 9.6 corners here; Independiente Medellin are forecast for 6.
  • Independiente Medellin win 5.09 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.89 over their last 65.
  • Independiente Medellin games clear the 9.5 corner line 40% of the time.
  • Across 41 recent matches, Deportivo Cali games produced 9.41 corners on average — 5.24 taken by Deportivo Cali themselves.
  • Deportivo Cali games clear the 9.5 corner line 44% of the time.
  • Independiente Medellin matches average 2.63 goals, with both teams scoring in 65% of them.
  • Games involving Deportivo Cali produce 2.27 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 44%.
  • The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.8 goals per game.
  • Corners have averaged 7.7 across their last 10 direct meetings.
  • The model leans Under 2.25 goals at 53% probability.

Independiente Medellin — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-30 A L Vasco da Gama 0–1 4–3
2026-07-26 H W Deportivo Pasto 3–2 4–4
2026-07-23 H D Vasco da Gama 2–2 3–6
2026-06-03 H W Cucuta Deportivo 2–1 12–3
2026-05-30 A D Itagui Leones 1–1 13–3
2026-05-27 A L Estudiantes LP 0–1 5–9
2026-05-21 A W Cusco FC 3–2 3–9
2026-05-16 A D Orsomarso 1–1 2–10
2026-05-12 H W Fortaleza CEIF 1–0 3–1
2026-05-04 H L Aguilas Doradas 1–2 10–2

Deportivo Cali — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 H W Jaguares de Cordoba 2–0 6–3
2026-07-13 A W Alianza Lima 2–0 2–4
2026-05-25 A W CD Real Santander 2–1 5–5
2026-05-21 H W Alianza 1–0 8–4
2026-05-16 A W Boca Juniors De Cali 5–1 5–3
2026-05-12 H W Atletico Bucaramanga 2–0 5–2
2026-05-04 A D Deportes Tolima 1–1 3–5
2026-04-26 H W America de Cali 1–0 6–2
2026-04-18 A L Boyaca Chico 0–1 5–5
2026-04-13 H D Llaneros 1–1 6–5

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Cali?
Our model gives Independiente Medellin a 49% chance, the draw 29% and Deportivo Cali 21%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Cali?
The corner model projects 9.6 total corners. Over 9.00 corners is rated at 58% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.