MathPredictions
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USA USL Championship

Indy Eleven vs Hartford Athletic Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

LIVE 04′ 1–0

Corners0–0
Yellow cards0–0
Shots on target1–0
Shots off target0–0
Attacks5–6
Dangerous attacks3–0
Possession54%–46%
Predicted score 1-114%1-012%0-010%
Expected goals1.27 – 1.06
Avg goals2.33
Our pickHome
Indy Eleven 41% Draw 29% Hartford Athletic 30%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 41% 2.46 1.80
Double chance – Home or away 71% 1.41 1.22
Goals 2.75 Under +19% Value 66% 1.53 2.03
Both teams to score – No +10% Value 53% 1.90 2.20
Asian handicap -0.5 Away +16% Value 59% 1.69 1.98
Corners 9.5 Over 67% 1.49 1.85
Correct score – 1-1 14% 7.34 7.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.80  ·  Draw 3.50  ·  Away 3.80
Goals 2.75 Over 1.78  ·  Under 2.03
Asian handicap -0.5 Home 1.83  ·  Away 1.98
Corners 9.5 Over 1.85  ·  Under 1.95

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

6.3 Indy Eleven
11.1 Expected corners
4.7 Hartford Athletic

Indy Eleven corner stats · Hartford Athletic corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 67% Under 33%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 11.1 corners in this match, with Indy Eleven winning 6.3 of them.
  • Indy Eleven matches average 10.28 total corners (5.00 won per game) across their last 36 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 58% of Indy Eleven matches.
  • Hartford Athletic win 4.70 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.68 over their last 40.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 40% of Hartford Athletic matches.
  • Games involving Indy Eleven produce 2.61 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 58%.
  • Hartford Athletic matches average 2.28 goals, with both teams scoring in 35% of them.
  • Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 3.2 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 10.6 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.75 (66%).

Indy Eleven — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-01 A L San Antonio FC 1–3 6–5
2026-07-26 H L Loudoun United FC 0–1 9–3
2026-07-19 A L Detroit City FC 0–2 5–5
2026-07-16 A L Miami FC 0–2 9–1
2026-07-05 H W Charleston Battery 2–0 7–4
2026-06-21 A D Lexington SC 0–0 3–10
2026-06-14 A L Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0–1 4–4
2026-06-07 H W Forward Madison FC 2–0 8–1
2026-05-31 H W Rhode Island FC 1–0 6–6
2026-05-24 H W Lexington SC 3–1 5–6

Hartford Athletic — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-02 A L Loudoun United FC 0–2 3–2
2026-07-26 A D Phoenix Rising FC 0–0 0–6
2026-07-19 A L Rhode Island FC 0–1 2–9
2026-07-12 H W Westchester SC 2–1 9–4
2026-07-09 H D Orange County SC 2–2 17–4
2026-07-05 A L Louisville City FC 0–1 1–7
2026-06-21 H D Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0–0 12–3
2026-06-14 A W Tampa Bay Rowdies 1–0 1–15
2026-06-07 A W New York Cosmos 4–1 6–3
2026-05-31 H D New Mexico United 0–0 8–2

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Indy Eleven vs Hartford Athletic?
Our model gives Indy Eleven a 41% chance, the draw 29% and Hartford Athletic 30%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Indy Eleven vs Hartford Athletic?
The corner model projects 11.1 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 67% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.