Scotland Championship
Inverness CT vs Dunfermline Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.30 – 0.92
Avg goals2.22
Our pickHome
Inverness CT 44%
Draw 31%
Dunfermline 25%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home +10% Value | 44% | 2.27 | 2.25 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw +5% Value | 75% | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Goals | 2.25 | Under +10% Value | 56% | 1.80 | 1.98 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 55% | 1.82 | 1.83 |
| Asian handicap | 0 | Home +14% Value | 64% | 1.57 | 1.78 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under +8% Value | 56% | 1.80 | 1.95 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 14% | 7.00 | 6.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.25 · Draw 3.25 · Away 2.75 |
| Goals 2.25 | Over 1.83 · Under 1.98 |
| Asian handicap 0 | Home 1.78 · Away 2.03 |
| Corners 9.5 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.8
Inverness CT
9.0
Expected corners
3.2
Dunfermline
Inverness CT corner stats · Dunfermline corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 44%
Under 56%
Match trends
- Our model projects 9 corners in this match, with Inverness CT winning 5.8 of them.
- Inverness CT matches average 9.20 total corners (6.55 won per game) across their last 56 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 39% of Inverness CT matches.
- Dunfermline win 4.91 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.45 over their last 53.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 47% of Dunfermline matches.
- Games involving Inverness CT produce 2.86 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 50%.
- Dunfermline matches average 2.57 goals, with both teams scoring in 36% of them.
- Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 1.6 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 10.6 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.25 (56%).
Inverness CT — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | A | W Morton | 1–0 | 2–2 |
| 2026-07-22 | H | W St Johnstone | 1–0 | 5–2 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | W Linlithgow Rose | 2–0 | 13–0 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | D East Fife | 1–1 | 7–2 |
| 2026-07-08 | A | W Cove Rangers | 4–1 | 3–3 |
| 2026-07-04 | H | L Ross County | 0–4 | 3–1 |
| 2026-06-27 | A | W Clachnacuddin | 3–1 | 2–4 |
| 2026-05-02 | H | W Hamilton | 2–1 | 7–1 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | D East Fife | 1–1 | 10–3 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | W Kelty Hearts | 1–0 | 4–5 |
Dunfermline — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | W St Mirren | 1–0 | 5–8 |
| 2026-07-22 | H | W Cove Rangers | 5–0 | 8–1 |
| 2026-07-15 | H | W Dumbarton | 4–1 | 11–3 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | L East Kilbride | 0–3 | 3–4 |
| 2026-07-04 | A | W Kelty Hearts | 3–0 | 1–4 |
| 2026-06-27 | A | W Clyde | 2–1 | 3–5 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | L Celtic | 1–3 | 2–3 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | L Partick | 1–2 | 4–7 |
| 2026-05-13 | H | D Partick | 1–1 | 8–2 |
| 2026-05-09 | A | D Arbroath | 0–0 | 6–6 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Inverness CT vs Dunfermline?
- Our model gives Inverness CT a 44% chance, the draw 31% and Dunfermline 25%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Inverness CT vs Dunfermline?
- The corner model projects 9.0 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 44% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.