Australia Queensland Premier League
Ipswich FC vs Capalaba Bulldogs Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
2-110%2-010%1-19%
Expected goals2.29 – 1.01
Avg goals3.30
Our pickHome
Ipswich FC 66%
Draw 19%
Capalaba Bulldogs 15%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 66% | 1.52 | 1.33 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 85% | 1.18 | 1.06 |
| Goals | 3.25 | Under | 53% | 1.90 | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 58% | 1.74 | – |
| Asian handicap | -1.25 | Away | 51% | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 67% | 1.50 | 1.80 |
| Correct score | – | 2-1 +86% Value | 10% | 10.24 | 21.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.33 · Draw 5.25 · Away 5.75 |
| Goals 3.25 | Over 1.95 · Under 1.85 |
| Asian handicap -1.5 | Home 1.90 · Away 1.90 |
| Corners 10 | Over 1.80 · Under 2.00 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
7.0
Ipswich FC
11.2
Expected corners
4.2
Capalaba Bulldogs
Ipswich FC corner stats · Capalaba Bulldogs corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 67%
Under 33%
Match trends
- Our model projects 11.2 corners in this match, with Ipswich FC winning 7 of them.
- Ipswich FC matches average 10.50 total corners (4.65 won per game) across their last 26 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 50% of Ipswich FC matches.
- Capalaba Bulldogs win 3.85 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.62 over their last 26.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 58% of Capalaba Bulldogs matches.
- Games involving Ipswich FC produce 3.04 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 50%.
- Capalaba Bulldogs matches average 3.77 goals, with both teams scoring in 62% of them.
- Across their previous 5 meetings, these sides averaged 4.4 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 5 meetings with corner data averaged 11.4 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 3.25 (53%).
Ipswich FC — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | A | D Sunshine Coast Wanderers | 0–0 | 6–5 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | W North Star | 3–2 | 7–9 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | L Logan Lightning | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| 2026-07-03 | H | D Holland Park Hawks | 3–3 | 5–5 |
| 2026-06-26 | A | L Brisbane Strikers | 0–1 | 4–3 |
| 2026-06-20 | A | L Redlands United | 0–5 | 4–7 |
| 2026-06-06 | A | W Caboolture FC | 2–1 | 6–1 |
| 2026-05-24 | A | W St George Willawong FC | 4–0 | 5–4 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | D Broadbeach United | 2–2 | 1–4 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | W Capalaba Bulldogs | 4–2 | 11–10 |
Capalaba Bulldogs — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | A | L North Star | 0–1 | 5–13 |
| 2026-07-19 | H | W Holland Park Hawks | 3–0 | 4–5 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | D Redlands United | 1–1 | 1–10 |
| 2026-07-04 | H | L St George Willawong FC | 0–2 | 1–5 |
| 2026-06-27 | A | L Broadbeach United | 1–3 | 3–6 |
| 2026-06-23 | A | L Robina City | 1–5 | 4–8 |
| 2026-06-20 | H | L Sunshine Coast Wanderers | 0–5 | 4–8 |
| 2026-06-05 | A | L Logan Lightning | 0–1 | 3–1 |
| 2026-05-30 | A | L Caboolture FC | 1–2 | 3–7 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | L Brisbane Strikers | 0–8 | 0–7 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Ipswich FC vs Capalaba Bulldogs?
- Our model gives Ipswich FC a 66% chance, the draw 19% and Capalaba Bulldogs 15%. The most likely score is 2-1.
- How many corners are expected in Ipswich FC vs Capalaba Bulldogs?
- The corner model projects 11.2 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 67% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.