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Kazakhstan Premier League

Irtysh Pavlodar vs FK Kaspyi Aktau Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.28 – 1.01
Avg goals2.29
Our pickHome
Irtysh Pavlodar 41% Draw 31% FK Kaspyi Aktau 28%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 41% 2.42 1.75
Double chance – Home or draw 72% 1.39 1.18
Goals 2.25 Under +7% Value 53% 1.87 1.95
Both teams to score – No 53% 1.89 –
Asian handicap -0.25 Away 51% 1.95 1.98
Corners 9.5 Over 61% 1.65 1.90
Correct score – 1-1 14% 6.94 7.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.75  ·  Draw 3.60  ·  Away 3.90
Goals 2.5 Over 1.85  ·  Under 1.95
Asian handicap -0.5 Home 1.83  ·  Away 1.98
Corners 9 Over 1.90  ·  Under 1.90

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

6.6 Irtysh Pavlodar
10.4 Expected corners
3.8 FK Kaspyi Aktau

Irtysh Pavlodar corner stats · FK Kaspyi Aktau corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 61% Under 39%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 10.4 corners in this match, with Irtysh Pavlodar winning 6.6 of them.
  • Irtysh Pavlodar matches average 8.79 total corners (4.32 won per game) across their last 19 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 42% of Irtysh Pavlodar matches.
  • FK Kaspyi Aktau win 3.70 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.50 over their last 20.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 60% of FK Kaspyi Aktau matches.
  • Games involving Irtysh Pavlodar produce 2.21 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 58%.
  • FK Kaspyi Aktau matches average 2.35 goals, with both teams scoring in 45% of them.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.25 (53%).

Irtysh Pavlodar — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 A W FK Ulytau 2–1 5–7
2026-07-11 H L FK Zhenys 0–1 3–5
2026-07-05 A D Kaisar Kyzylorda 0–0 4–0
2026-06-28 H L Kaisar Kyzylorda 1–2 2–4
2026-06-20 A D FK Zhenys 0–0 5–5
2026-06-14 A L FC Astana 0–2 4–6
2026-05-27 H D FK Ulytau 1–1 4–3
2026-05-22 A D FK Kaspyi Aktau 2–2 11–6
2026-05-16 H D FC Elimai Semey 2–2 7–4
2026-05-09 A L Tobol Kostanay 0–1 5–7

FK Kaspyi Aktau — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 H W FK Zhenys 3–2 4–9
2026-07-18 A D Kaisar Kyzylorda 1–1 3–4
2026-07-11 H W Ordabasy Shymkent 3–2 2–9
2026-07-05 A W FK Atyrau 2–1 8–3
2026-06-27 H W FK Atyrau 2–0 5–8
2026-06-20 A L Ordabasy Shymkent 0–2 5–7
2026-06-14 H L Kaisar Kyzylorda 1–2 6–2
2026-05-28 A L FK Zhenys 0–1 4–5
2026-05-22 H D Irtysh Pavlodar 2–2 6–11
2026-05-16 A L FK Ulytau 0–1 0–4

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Irtysh Pavlodar vs FK Kaspyi Aktau?
Our model gives Irtysh Pavlodar a 41% chance, the draw 31% and FK Kaspyi Aktau 28%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Irtysh Pavlodar vs FK Kaspyi Aktau?
The corner model projects 10.4 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 61% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.