MathPredictions
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New Zealand Central Premier League

Island Bay United vs FC Western Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 2-1
Expected goals2.28 – 1.26
Avg goals3.53
Our pickHome
Island Bay United 60% Draw 21% FC Western 19%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 60% 1.68 1.44
Double chance – Home or draw 81% 1.24 1.11
Goals 3.75 Under +13% Value 59% 1.71 1.95
Both teams to score – Yes 65% 1.54 –
Asian handicap -1.5 Away +11% Value 62% 1.62 1.80
Corners 10.5 Over 57% 1.76 1.85
Correct score – 2-1 +100% Value 10% 10.50 19.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.44  ·  Draw 4.75  ·  Away 4.75
Goals 3.75 Over 1.85  ·  Under 1.95
Asian handicap -1.5 Home 2.00  ·  Away 1.80
Corners 10.5 Over 1.85  ·  Under 1.95

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

11.1 Expected corners

Island Bay United corner stats

Corner line 10.50
Over 57% Under 43%

Match trends

  • Island Bay United matches average 10.68 total corners (3.89 won per game) across their last 19 with corner data.
  • Island Bay United games clear the 9.5 corner line 63% of the time.
  • FC Western win 3.00 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.38 over their last 8.
  • FC Western games clear the 9.5 corner line 63% of the time.
  • Island Bay United matches average 3.58 goals, with both teams scoring in 32% of them.
  • Games involving FC Western produce 4.25 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 63%.
  • The model leans Under 3.75 goals at 59% probability.

Island Bay United — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-18 H L Wellington Olympic 1–2 3–8
2026-07-11 A L Western Suburbs 0–2 4–8
2026-07-04 H L Miramar Rangers 1–3 5–3
2026-06-27 A L Miramar Rangers 2–4 12–5
2026-06-20 H L Napier City Rovers 0–1 4–8
2026-06-06 A L Waterside Karori 0–4 2–7
2026-06-03 A D Wellington Phoenix Reserves 2–2 2–5
2026-05-30 A L Napier City Rovers 0–3 2–8
2026-05-24 H W Petone FC 2–0 2–8
2026-05-16 A L Wellington Phoenix Reserves 1–3 2–8

FC Western — last 8 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-19 H L Waterside Karori 2–3 1–2
2026-07-11 A L Wellington Olympic 0–9 1–9
2026-07-04 A D Wellington Phoenix Reserves 1–1 3–8
2026-06-07 H W Wellington Phoenix Reserves 2–1 7–10
2026-05-17 H L Upper Hutt City 1–4 7–9
2026-05-10 H L Miramar Rangers 1–3 2–9
2026-05-03 H L Island Bay United 0–5 1–7
2026-04-25 A L Waterside Karori 0–1 2–5

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Island Bay United vs FC Western?
Our model gives Island Bay United a 60% chance, the draw 21% and FC Western 19%. The most likely score is 2-1.
How many corners are expected in Island Bay United vs FC Western?
The corner model projects 11.1 total corners. Over 10.50 corners is rated at 57% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.