Croatia HNL
Istra 1961 vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.32 – 1.10
Avg goals2.42
Our pickHome
Istra 1961 40%
Draw 30%
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 30%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 40% | 2.47 | 2.10 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 70% | 1.42 | 1.28 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under +7% Value | 57% | 1.77 | 1.90 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 50% | 2.00 | 1.73 |
| Asian handicap | -0.25 | Away | 52% | 1.91 | 1.95 |
| Corners | 9 | Over | 53% | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 14% | 7.04 | 6.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.10 · Draw 3.25 · Away 3.10 |
| Goals 2.5 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
| Asian handicap -0.25 | Home 1.85 · Away 1.95 |
| Corners 9 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.5
Istra 1961
9.2
Expected corners
4.8
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Istra 1961 corner stats · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb corner stats
Corner line 9.00
Over 53%
Under 47%
Match trends
- Our model projects 9.2 corners in this match, with Istra 1961 winning 4.5 of them.
- Istra 1961 win 4.38 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.81 over their last 42.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 48% of Istra 1961 matches.
- Across 49 recent matches, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb games produced 9.02 corners on average — 4.51 taken by NK Lokomotiva Zagreb themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 43% of NK Lokomotiva Zagreb matches.
- Games involving Istra 1961 produce 2.69 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 60%.
- NK Lokomotiva Zagreb matches average 2.71 goals, with both teams scoring in 63% of them.
- Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 2.4 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 9.4 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.50 (57%).
Istra 1961 — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | A | D Lecce | 2–2 | 2–6 |
| 2026-07-22 | H | W Orijent | 5–2 | 9–3 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | W Milton Keynes Dons | 2–1 | 5–4 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | L NK Varazdin | 0–2 | 3–2 |
| 2026-05-18 | H | D HNK Rijeka | 0–0 | 7–4 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | W NK Osijek | 1–0 | 4–1 |
| 2026-05-05 | H | W Slaven Belupo | 3–1 | 6–12 |
| 2026-04-28 | A | L HNK Gorica | 0–1 | 5–11 |
| 2026-04-23 | H | L Dinamo Zagreb | 0–2 | 2–4 |
| 2026-04-19 | H | L Vukovar 1991 | 1–2 | 8–3 |
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | W SK Sturm Graz II | 4–0 | 8–3 |
| 2026-07-17 | H | D Karpaty Lviv | 0–0 | 3–11 |
| 2026-07-14 | H | W Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi | 3–1 | 4–9 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | D Partizan Belgrade | 2–2 | 1–5 |
| 2026-07-05 | H | W NK Bravo | 3–1 | 5–4 |
| 2026-06-27 | H | W NK Varazdin | 2–1 | 2–8 |
| 2026-05-24 | A | D Dinamo Zagreb | 0–0 | 2–4 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | D Hajduk Split | 1–1 | 8–4 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | D NK Varazdin | 1–1 | 5–2 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | L HNK Rijeka | 0–3 | 1–1 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Istra 1961 vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
- Our model gives Istra 1961 a 40% chance, the draw 30% and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 30%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Istra 1961 vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?
- The corner model projects 9.2 total corners. Over 9.00 corners is rated at 53% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.