Brazil Campeonato Mineiro U20
Itabirito U20 vs Athletic Club MG U20 Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
FT 1–2 (HT 0–1)
Corners2–6
Yellow cards4–2
Red cards0–1
Shots on target3–3
Shots off target6–7
Attacks84–80
Dangerous attacks40–39
Possession50%–50%
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.18 – 1.37
Avg goals2.54
Our pickAway
Itabirito U20 31%
Draw 29%
Athletic Club MG U20 40%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 40% | 2.51 | 1.90 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 71% | 1.41 | 1.22 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 53% | 1.88 | 1.93 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 53% | 1.90 | – |
| Asian handicap | 0.5 | Home +11% Value | 60% | 1.66 | 1.85 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 54% | 1.86 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 14% | 7.19 | 7.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 3.40 · Draw 3.50 · Away 1.90 |
| Goals 2.5 | Over 1.88 · Under 1.93 |
| Asian handicap 0.5 | Home 1.85 · Away 1.95 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.4
Itabirito U20
9.8
Expected corners
5.5
Athletic Club MG U20
Itabirito U20 corner stats · Athletic Club MG U20 corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 54%
Under 46%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 9.8 corners here; Itabirito U20 are forecast for 4.4.
- Across 11 recent matches, Itabirito U20 games produced 9.00 corners on average — 4.27 taken by Itabirito U20 themselves.
- Itabirito U20 games clear the 9.5 corner line 55% of the time.
- Athletic Club MG U20 matches average 11.28 total corners (7.28 won per game) across their last 18 with corner data.
- Athletic Club MG U20 games clear the 9.5 corner line 61% of the time.
- Itabirito U20 matches average 2.82 goals, with both teams scoring in 55% of them.
- Games involving Athletic Club MG U20 produce 3.00 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 50%.
- The model leans Under 2.50 goals at 53% probability.
Itabirito U20 — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | H | L Athletic Club MG U20 | 1–2 | 2–6 |
| 2026-07-17 | H | W Social FC MG U20 | 2–0 | 9–2 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | L Betim FC U20 | 1–3 | 2–2 |
| 2026-06-12 | H | D Nacional de Muriae U20 | 2–2 | 4–7 |
| 2026-06-06 | A | W Athletic Club MG U20 | 1–0 | 0–12 |
| 2026-05-29 | H | W Uberabinha U20 | 2–1 | 6–4 |
| 2026-05-24 | A | L America MG U20 | 0–2 | 2–2 |
| 2026-05-08 | H | W Minas Boca U20 | 1–0 | 3–4 |
| 2026-04-17 | H | W Boston City FC Brasil U20 | 2–1 | 9–5 |
| 2026-04-14 | A | L Betim U20 | 0–3 | 4–3 |
Athletic Club MG U20 — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | A | W Itabirito U20 | 2–1 | 6–2 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | L Nacional de Muriae U20 | 0–1 | 8–8 |
| 2026-07-12 | A | W America MG U20 | 2–1 | 5–6 |
| 2026-06-06 | H | L Itabirito U20 | 0–1 | 12–0 |
| 2026-06-02 | H | W Atletico Mineiro U20 | 2–1 | 9–7 |
| 2026-05-08 | A | W Boston City FC Brasil U20 | 3–0 | 7–1 |
| 2026-05-02 | H | W Betim FC U20 | 2–1 | 10–2 |
| 2026-04-18 | A | L Coimbra U20 | 0–2 | 4–8 |
| 2026-04-11 | H | W Inter De Minas U20 | 6–1 | 4–3 |
| 2026-03-24 | H | D Sao Joao del Rei U20 | 1–1 | 7–2 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Itabirito U20 vs Athletic Club MG U20?
- Our model gives Itabirito U20 a 31% chance, the draw 29% and Athletic Club MG U20 40%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Itabirito U20 vs Athletic Club MG U20?
- The corner model projects 9.8 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 54% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.