Nicaragua Apertura
Jalapa vs HYH Export Sebaco FC Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-113%1-011%2-19%
Expected goals1.43 – 1.07
Avg goals2.50
Our pickHome
Jalapa 45%
Draw 27%
HYH Export Sebaco FC 28%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 45% | 2.22 | 4.50 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 73% | 1.38 | 1.18 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 54% | 1.84 | 1.88 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 50% | 1.98 | – |
| Asian handicap | -0.25 | Home | 52% | 1.92 | 1.98 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 61% | 1.64 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.66 | 8.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 4.50 · Draw 3.70 · Away 1.60 |
| Goals 2.5 | Over 1.93 · Under 1.88 |
| Asian handicap 0.75 | Home 1.98 · Away 1.83 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.5
Jalapa
8.4
Expected corners
2.9
HYH Export Sebaco FC
Jalapa corner stats · HYH Export Sebaco FC corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 39%
Under 61%
Match trends
- Our model projects 8.4 corners in this match, with Jalapa winning 5.5 of them.
- Across 32 recent matches, Jalapa games produced 8.19 corners on average — 4.56 taken by Jalapa themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 38% of Jalapa matches.
- HYH Export Sebaco FC matches average 8.67 total corners (3.48 won per game) across their last 27 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 33% of HYH Export Sebaco FC matches.
- Games involving Jalapa produce 2.66 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 47%.
- HYH Export Sebaco FC matches average 2.63 goals, with both teams scoring in 37% of them.
- Across their previous 9 meetings, these sides averaged 1.6 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 9 meetings with corner data averaged 8 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.50 (54%).
Jalapa — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | H | L Real Esteli | 0–1 | 0–4 |
| 2026-07-26 | A | L Managua FC | 0–1 | 3–4 |
| 2026-07-19 | H | W CD Walter Ferretti | 1–0 | 3–1 |
| 2026-07-05 | A | L Matagalpa FC | 1–3 | 3–3 |
| 2026-05-07 | A | L Real Esteli | 1–3 | 5–7 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | D Real Esteli | 0–0 | 0–0 |
| 2026-04-30 | H | W CD Walter Ferretti | 3–0 | 4–1 |
| 2026-04-17 | H | W Real Madriz FC | 2–0 | 5–5 |
| 2026-04-12 | H | D Matagalpa FC | 1–1 | 10–1 |
| 2026-04-09 | A | W UNAN Managua | 4–2 | 6–4 |
HYH Export Sebaco FC — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | H | D San Marcos FC | 1–1 | 1–2 |
| 2026-07-19 | A | W Matagalpa FC | 3–0 | 3–11 |
| 2026-07-13 | H | D Diriangen | 1–1 | 7–9 |
| 2026-07-05 | A | W Diriangen | 2–1 | 4–4 |
| 2026-04-17 | H | L Diriangen | 0–2 | 3–0 |
| 2026-04-13 | A | W Rancho Santana FC | 3–0 | 4–3 |
| 2026-04-10 | H | D Real Madriz FC | 2–2 | 3–6 |
| 2026-03-16 | A | W FC Esteli | 2–0 | 9–4 |
| 2026-03-09 | A | L Jalapa | 0–1 | 3–0 |
| 2026-03-05 | A | L CD Walter Ferretti | 1–3 | 2–1 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Jalapa vs HYH Export Sebaco FC?
- Our model gives Jalapa a 45% chance, the draw 27% and HYH Export Sebaco FC 28%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Jalapa vs HYH Export Sebaco FC?
- The corner model projects 8.4 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 39% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.