MathPredictions
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South Korea K League 1

Jeju SK vs Incheon Utd Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.06 – 1.19
Avg goals2.25
Our pickAway
Jeju SK 31% Draw 31% Incheon Utd 37%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 37% 2.67 2.35
Double chance – Draw or away 69% 1.45 1.32
Goals 2 Over 54% 1.84 1.78
Both teams to score – No 53% 1.88 1.73
Asian handicap 0 Away 55% 1.84 1.75
Corners 8.5 Over 50% 1.99 1.88
Correct score – 1-1 15% 6.84 6.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.90  ·  Draw 3.00  ·  Away 2.35
Goals 2 Over 1.78  ·  Under 2.03
Asian handicap 0 Home 2.05  ·  Away 1.75
Corners 8.5 Over 1.88  ·  Under 1.93

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

8.5 Expected corners

Incheon Utd corner stats

Corner line 8.50
Over 50% Under 50%

Match trends

  • Incheon Utd matches average 7.84 total corners (4.03 won per game) across their last 38 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 26% of Incheon Utd matches.
  • Games involving Incheon Utd produce 2.21 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 45%.
  • The model leans Over 2.00 goals at 54% probability.

Jeju SK — last 1 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-29 H D Hwaseong FC 2–2 10–6

Incheon Utd — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-29 H L Gimpo FC 0–1 9–5
2026-07-26 H D Bucheon FC 1995 1–1 8–7
2026-07-21 A W Ulsan HD 2–1 2–2
2026-07-18 H W Jeonbuk Motors 1–0 2–4
2026-07-12 H L FC Anyang 0–1 5–3
2026-07-05 A L FC Seoul 0–1 3–3
2026-05-16 H W Gwangju FC 4–0 5–1
2026-05-12 H L Pohang Steelers 0–1 7–4
2026-05-09 A W Gimcheon Sangmu FC 3–0 4–4
2026-05-05 A D Daejeon Hana Citizen 0–0 7–5

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Jeju SK vs Incheon Utd?
Our model gives Jeju SK a 31% chance, the draw 31% and Incheon Utd 37%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Jeju SK vs Incheon Utd?
The corner model projects 8.5 total corners. Over 8.50 corners is rated at 50% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.