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Latvia 1. Liga

JFK Ventspils vs FK Smiltene/BJSS Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals2.05 – 1.17
Avg goals3.22
Our pickHome
JFK Ventspils 57% Draw 23% FK Smiltene/BJSS 20%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 57% 1.76 1.73
Double chance – Home or draw 80% 1.25 1.19
Goals 3.25 Under 55% 1.82 1.83
Both teams to score – Yes 61% 1.64 –
Asian handicap -0.75 Home 51% 1.94 1.95
Corners 9.5 Over 82% 1.22 –
Correct score – 1-1 11% 9.48 8.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.73  ·  Draw 3.80  ·  Away 3.60
Goals 3.25 Over 1.98  ·  Under 1.83
Asian handicap -0.75 Home 1.95  ·  Away 1.85

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

7.9 JFK Ventspils
12.8 Expected corners
4.9 FK Smiltene/BJSS

JFK Ventspils corner stats · FK Smiltene/BJSS corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 82% Under 18%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 12.8 corners in this match, with JFK Ventspils winning 7.9 of them.
  • JFK Ventspils win 7.48 corners per game, with match totals averaging 12.96 over their last 23.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 83% of JFK Ventspils matches.
  • Across 25 recent matches, FK Smiltene/BJSS games produced 11.88 corners on average — 4.52 taken by FK Smiltene/BJSS themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 76% of FK Smiltene/BJSS matches.
  • Games involving JFK Ventspils produce 2.78 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 52%.
  • FK Smiltene/BJSS matches average 3.72 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% of them.
  • Across their previous 7 meetings, these sides averaged 2.9 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 7 meetings with corner data averaged 14 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 3.25 (55%).

JFK Ventspils — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 A D Riga Mariners 1–1 6–13
2026-07-18 H L JDFS Alberts 1–3 4–12
2026-07-11 A W Skanstes SK 3–0 1–10
2026-07-04 A D Rezeknes FA 1–1 4–4
2026-06-28 H L Valmiera FC 0–2 5–10
2026-06-21 H L Leevon PPK 1–3 6–4
2026-06-02 A W Upesciema Warriors 3–0 11–1
2026-05-23 A L Leevon PPK 1–2 9–5
2026-05-09 H L FK Metta 0–1 8–6
2026-05-02 H D RFS II 0–0 11–9

FK Smiltene/BJSS — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 H L RFS II 3–5 5–5
2026-07-19 H W Rezeknes FA 1–0 5–1
2026-07-04 A L Marupes SC 1–2 2–7
2026-06-28 H L Skanstes SK 2–4 6–3
2026-06-23 H L Valmiera FC 1–4 2–7
2026-06-14 A L Riga FC II 0–2 4–5
2026-05-24 A D FK Tukums 2000/TSS II 1–1 6–4
2026-05-14 H L SK Super Nova II 0–2 3–7
2026-05-09 A L Riga Mariners 0–1 2–9
2026-05-03 H L JDFS Alberts 2–3 5–10

Match questions

Who is predicted to win JFK Ventspils vs FK Smiltene/BJSS?
Our model gives JFK Ventspils a 57% chance, the draw 23% and FK Smiltene/BJSS 20%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in JFK Ventspils vs FK Smiltene/BJSS?
The corner model projects 12.8 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 82% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.