Estonia Esiliiga
JK Nomme United II vs Tartu JK Welco Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-2
Expected goals1.33 – 2.39
Avg goals3.72
Our pickAway
JK Nomme United II 19%
Draw 20%
Tartu JK Welco 60%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 60% | 1.66 | 1.36 |
| Double chance | – | Draw or away | 81% | 1.24 | 1.07 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Over | 72% | 1.39 | 1.95 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 68% | 1.48 | – |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 52% | 1.93 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-2 | 9% | 10.86 | – |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 5.75 · Draw 5.00 · Away 1.36 |
| Goals 4.25 | Over 1.95 · Under 1.85 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
3.7
JK Nomme United II
9.7
Expected corners
5.9
Tartu JK Welco
JK Nomme United II corner stats · Tartu JK Welco corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 52%
Under 48%
Match trends
- Our model projects 9.7 corners in this match, with JK Nomme United II winning 3.7 of them.
- JK Nomme United II matches average 10.33 total corners (4.60 won per game) across their last 30 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 47% of JK Nomme United II matches.
- Tartu JK Welco win 5.47 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.88 over their last 32.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 53% of Tartu JK Welco matches.
- Games involving JK Nomme United II produce 4.20 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 73%.
- Tartu JK Welco matches average 4.03 goals, with both teams scoring in 66% of them.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.50 (72%).
JK Nomme United II — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | H | L Viimsi JK | 0–3 | 1–7 |
| 2026-07-19 | A | L JK Tallinna Kalev | 1–3 | 3–8 |
| 2026-07-13 | H | D FC Flora Tallinn II | 1–1 | 3–10 |
| 2026-07-04 | A | L FC Tallinn | 3–4 | 12–7 |
| 2026-07-01 | H | D FC Flora Tallinn II | 3–3 | 2–5 |
| 2026-06-22 | A | L Tartu JK Welco | 2–5 | 6–3 |
| 2026-06-18 | H | L JK Tallinna Kalev | 1–2 | 2–12 |
| 2026-06-16 | A | L JK Nomme Kalju II | 1–4 | 1–4 |
| 2026-05-26 | A | L Levadia Tallinn II | 2–4 | 2–7 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | W FC Elva | 1–0 | 4–9 |
Tartu JK Welco — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | H | L FC Tallinn | 0–2 | 10–4 |
| 2026-07-14 | A | W Maardu Linnameeskond | 8–1 | 4–3 |
| 2026-07-03 | H | D Viimsi JK | 2–2 | 5–6 |
| 2026-06-22 | H | W JK Nomme United II | 5–2 | 3–6 |
| 2026-06-18 | A | W Levadia Tallinn II | 3–1 | 4–8 |
| 2026-06-14 | H | W FC Tallinn | 4–0 | 7–5 |
| 2026-06-02 | A | W FC Elva | 2–0 | 7–2 |
| 2026-05-29 | H | W JK Nomme Kalju II | 4–2 | 8–8 |
| 2026-05-24 | A | W Maardu Linnameeskond | 1–0 | 5–3 |
| 2026-05-18 | H | D FC Flora Tallinn II | 3–3 | 5–1 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win JK Nomme United II vs Tartu JK Welco?
- Our model gives JK Nomme United II a 19% chance, the draw 20% and Tartu JK Welco 60%. The most likely score is 1-2.
- How many corners are expected in JK Nomme United II vs Tartu JK Welco?
- The corner model projects 9.7 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 52% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.