Estonia Meistriliiga
JK Nomme United vs JK Trans Narva Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
2-1
Expected goals2.26 – 1.27
Avg goals3.53
Our pickHome
JK Nomme United 59%
Draw 21%
JK Trans Narva 20%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home +12% Value | 59% | 1.69 | 1.90 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 80% | 1.24 | 1.24 |
| Goals | 3.25 | Over | 53% | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 65% | 1.54 | 1.44 |
| Asian handicap | -0.5 | Home +15% Value | 59% | 1.69 | 2.00 |
| Corners | 10.5 | Over | 52% | 1.93 | 1.98 |
| Correct score | – | 2-1 +24% Value | 10% | 10.52 | 13.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.90 · Draw 3.60 · Away 3.20 |
| Goals 3.25 | Over 1.95 · Under 1.85 |
| Asian handicap -0.5 | Home 2.00 · Away 1.80 |
| Corners 10.5 | Over 1.98 · Under 1.83 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.1
JK Nomme United
10.7
Expected corners
5.5
JK Trans Narva
JK Nomme United corner stats · JK Trans Narva corner stats
Corner line 10.50
Over 52%
Under 48%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 10.7 corners here; JK Nomme United are forecast for 5.1.
- JK Nomme United win 5.35 corners per game, with match totals averaging 11.26 over their last 34.
- JK Nomme United games clear the 9.5 corner line 62% of the time.
- Across 46 recent matches, JK Trans Narva games produced 10.39 corners on average — 5.52 taken by JK Trans Narva themselves.
- JK Trans Narva games clear the 9.5 corner line 57% of the time.
- JK Nomme United matches average 4.26 goals, with both teams scoring in 77% of them.
- Games involving JK Trans Narva produce 3.02 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 48%.
- The last 7 head-to-head meetings averaged 4.1 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 10.6 across their last 7 direct meetings.
- The model leans Over 3.25 goals at 53% probability.
JK Nomme United — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | A | W FC Flora Tallinn | 2–1 | 6–6 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | W FC Kuressaare | 3–2 | 6–6 |
| 2026-07-04 | H | L JK Nomme Kalju | 1–3 | 8–7 |
| 2026-06-20 | A | W Harju JK Laagri | 3–1 | 2–10 |
| 2026-06-18 | H | L FC Levadia Tallinn | 1–2 | 6–10 |
| 2026-06-13 | A | W JK Trans Narva | 2–1 | 1–8 |
| 2026-05-30 | H | L FC Flora Tallinn | 0–4 | 2–10 |
| 2026-05-21 | A | L FC Kuressaare | 1–2 | 7–5 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | L JK Tammeka Tartu | 1–3 | 8–4 |
| 2026-05-10 | H | L Paide Linnameeskond | 2–3 | 8–3 |
JK Trans Narva — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | H | D FC Flora Tallinn II | 0–0 | 7–1 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | W Parnu JK Vaprus | 3–1 | 7–8 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | L Harju JK Laagri | 0–3 | 1–5 |
| 2026-07-05 | H | L FC Levadia Tallinn | 1–3 | 3–9 |
| 2026-06-21 | A | L JK Tammeka Tartu | 0–1 | 1–9 |
| 2026-06-17 | A | D FC Kuressaare | 0–0 | 7–5 |
| 2026-06-13 | H | L JK Nomme United | 1–2 | 8–1 |
| 2026-05-30 | A | L Harju JK Laagri | 0–3 | 3–3 |
| 2026-05-21 | H | W Paide Linnameeskond | 1–0 | 9–4 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | L FC Flora Tallinn | 0–3 | 2–10 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win JK Nomme United vs JK Trans Narva?
- Our model gives JK Nomme United a 59% chance, the draw 21% and JK Trans Narva 20%. The most likely score is 2-1.
- How many corners are expected in JK Nomme United vs JK Trans Narva?
- The corner model projects 10.7 total corners. Over 10.50 corners is rated at 52% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.