MathPredictions
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Honduras Liga Nacional

Juticalpa vs Motagua Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals0.96 – 1.99
Avg goals2.95
Our pickAway
Juticalpa 17% Draw 23% Motagua 60%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 60% 1.66 1.44
Double chance – Draw or away 83% 1.20 1.07
Goals 2.75 Over 51% 1.96 1.78
Both teams to score – Yes 54% 1.84 –
Asian handicap 1.25 Home +6% Value 58% 1.73 1.85
Corners 9.5 Over 62% 1.62 –
Correct score – 1-1 11% 9.09 9.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 5.50  ·  Draw 4.10  ·  Away 1.44
Goals 2.75 Over 1.78  ·  Under 2.03
Asian handicap 1.25 Home 1.85  ·  Away 1.95

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.7 Juticalpa
10.5 Expected corners
5.9 Motagua

Juticalpa corner stats · Motagua corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 62% Under 38%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 10.5 corners in this match, with Juticalpa winning 4.7 of them.
  • Juticalpa win 4.77 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.92 over their last 26.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 73% of Juticalpa matches.
  • Across 57 recent matches, Motagua games produced 9.96 corners on average — 5.95 taken by Motagua themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 60% of Motagua matches.
  • Games involving Juticalpa produce 3.08 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 58%.
  • Motagua matches average 2.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% of them.
  • Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 3.9 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 11.1 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.75 (51%).

Juticalpa — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-04-20 A L Motagua 1–2 6–6
2026-04-16 H D CD Platense 1–1 7–5
2026-04-10 H L Olancho FC 0–4 2–7
2026-04-07 A D Real Espana 1–1 0–4
2026-04-03 A W Genesis de Comayagua 1–0 3–7
2026-03-19 H L CD Marathon 0–4 5–5
2026-03-09 A L Lobos UPNFM 2–3 5–7
2026-02-26 H L Motagua 1–2 0–6
2026-02-23 A L CD Platense 0–4 2–11
2026-02-15 A L Olancho FC 1–4 3–8

Motagua — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-29 A W Verdes FC 5–0 10–1
2026-07-24 A L CD Olimpia 0–1 12–2
2026-05-25 H D CD Marathon 0–0 8–2
2026-05-22 A D CD Marathon 1–1 2–6
2026-05-19 H W Genesis de Comayagua 2–1 6–5
2026-05-13 A W Olancho FC 2–0 4–0
2026-05-10 H L Olancho FC 1–2 6–5
2026-05-04 A D Genesis de Comayagua 1–1 4–4
2026-04-27 H W CD Choloma 5–1 5–4
2026-04-24 A D Olancho FC 0–0 5–8

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Juticalpa vs Motagua?
Our model gives Juticalpa a 17% chance, the draw 23% and Motagua 60%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Juticalpa vs Motagua?
The corner model projects 10.5 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 62% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.