MathPredictions
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USA MLS

Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.33 – 1.79
Avg goals3.12
Our pickAway
Kansas City 27% Draw 25% Houston Dynamo 47%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 47% 2.11 2.20
Double chance – Home or away 75% 1.34 1.27
Goals 3 Under 51% 1.96 1.95
Both teams to score – Yes 62% 1.61 1.53
Asian handicap 0.25 Away 54% 1.85 1.95
Corners 9 Over 50% 1.99 2.00
Correct score – 1-1 12% 8.66 7.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 3.00  ·  Draw 3.60  ·  Away 2.20
Goals 2.75 Over 1.85  ·  Under 1.95
Asian handicap 0.25 Home 1.85  ·  Away 1.95
Corners 9.5 Over 2.00  ·  Under 1.80

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.7 Kansas City
9.0 Expected corners
4.3 Houston Dynamo

Kansas City corner stats · Houston Dynamo corner stats

Corner line 9.00
Over 50% Under 50%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 9 corners here; Kansas City are forecast for 4.7.
  • Kansas City matches average 9.39 total corners (4.32 won per game) across their last 28 with corner data.
  • Kansas City games clear the 9.5 corner line 39% of the time.
  • Houston Dynamo win 4.48 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.42 over their last 31.
  • Houston Dynamo games clear the 9.5 corner line 42% of the time.
  • Kansas City matches average 3.54 goals, with both teams scoring in 61% of them.
  • Games involving Houston Dynamo produce 2.97 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 61%.
  • The model leans Under 3.00 goals at 51% probability.

Kansas City — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 A L LAFC 0–4 1–5
2026-07-23 H W Minnesota Utd 2–1 3–6
2026-07-17 A L St. Louis City SC 2–3 6–5
2026-05-24 H L NY Red Bulls 1–2 6–1
2026-05-17 A W Austin FC 2–1 7–3
2026-05-14 H W LA Galaxy 3–1 4–8
2026-05-10 A L Portland Timbers 0–6 4–4
2026-05-03 H D Seattle Sounders 1–1 4–9
2026-04-26 A L Chicago Fire 0–5 2–4
2026-04-18 A L Vancouver Whitecaps 0–3 3–6

Houston Dynamo — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 H W Austin FC 3–0 1–6
2026-07-23 H D DC United 1–1 3–3
2026-05-24 A D LA Galaxy 1–1 2–9
2026-05-20 A D St. Louis City SC 2–2 3–2
2026-05-17 H W Vancouver Whitecaps 1–0 4–3
2026-05-14 A L Real Salt Lake 0–3 1–4
2026-05-11 A W LAFC 4–1 3–10
2026-05-03 H W Colorado Rapids 1–0 6–5
2026-04-30 H D Louisville City FC 1–1 8–2
2026-04-26 A L Austin FC 0–2 5–3

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo?
Our model gives Kansas City a 27% chance, the draw 25% and Houston Dynamo 47%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo?
The corner model projects 9.0 total corners. Over 9.00 corners is rated at 50% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.