Czech Cup
Karlovy Vary vs Chomutov Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.41 – 1.19
Avg goals2.60
Our pickHome
Karlovy Vary 41%
Draw 29%
Chomutov 31%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 41% | 2.46 | 2.20 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 71% | 1.40 | 1.17 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 52% | 1.93 | 1.90 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 54% | 1.86 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 14% | 7.29 | 8.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.20 · Draw 3.80 · Away 2.50 |
| Goals 3 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- Karlovy Vary matches average 9.23 total corners (4.91 won per game) across their last 22 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 41% of Karlovy Vary matches.
- Chomutov win 5.33 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.17 over their last 24.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 46% of Chomutov matches.
- Games involving Karlovy Vary produce 3.59 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 55%.
- Chomutov matches average 2.88 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
- Across their previous 6 meetings, these sides averaged 4.5 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 6 meetings with corner data averaged 11.2 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.50 (52%).
Karlovy Vary — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | A | L FK Usti nad Labem B | 2–5 | 5–7 |
| 2026-04-11 | H | L SK Rapid Psary | 0–1 | 7–2 |
| 2026-04-04 | A | W TJ Spoje Praha | 1–0 | 2–0 |
| 2026-03-29 | H | L SK Ujezd Praha 4 | 2–3 | 5–10 |
| 2026-03-21 | A | W SK Steti | 2–1 | 2–6 |
| 2026-03-15 | H | D Chomutov | 2–2 | 5–1 |
| 2026-03-07 | A | L FC Tempo Prague | 0–2 | 4–4 |
| 2025-11-15 | H | W FC Predni Kopanina | 4–3 | 9–5 |
| 2025-11-01 | H | D Banik Sokolov | 1–1 | 4–4 |
| 2025-10-25 | A | D SK Slany | 2–2 | 5–3 |
Chomutov — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | A | L FK Ostrov | 0–1 | 6–2 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | W FK Louny | 2–1 | 5–2 |
| 2026-05-15 | A | W Viktoria Marianske Lazne | 3–0 | 1–1 |
| 2026-05-06 | H | W SK Ujezd Praha 4 | 3–2 | 5–7 |
| 2026-05-02 | A | L FK Usti nad Labem B | 0–3 | 3–5 |
| 2026-04-25 | H | L SK Rapid Psary | 2–3 | 5–2 |
| 2026-04-03 | A | W SK Steti | 1–0 | 10–4 |
| 2026-03-28 | H | W FC Predni Kopanina | 4–0 | 10–1 |
| 2026-03-22 | H | W FC Tempo Prague | 1–0 | 4–10 |
| 2026-03-15 | A | D Karlovy Vary | 2–2 | 1–5 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Karlovy Vary vs Chomutov?
- Our model gives Karlovy Vary a 41% chance, the draw 29% and Chomutov 31%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.