Hungary NB I
Kispest Honved vs MTK Budapest Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.42 – 1.41
Avg goals2.83
Our pickHome
Kispest Honved 36%
Draw 27%
MTK Budapest 36%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 36% | 2.75 | 2.55 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 73% | 1.38 | 1.26 |
| Goals | 2.75 | Under | 52% | 1.92 | 1.83 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 59% | 1.71 | 1.62 |
| Asian handicap | 0 | Home | 50% | 1.99 | 1.93 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.70 | 7.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.55 · Draw 3.50 · Away 2.50 |
| Goals 2.75 | Over 1.98 · Under 1.83 |
| Asian handicap 0 | Home 1.93 · Away 1.88 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- Across 36 recent matches, MTK Budapest games produced 9.64 corners on average — 4.31 taken by MTK Budapest themselves.
- MTK Budapest games clear the 9.5 corner line 50% of the time.
- MTK Budapest matches average 3.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.75 (52%).
Kispest Honved — last 4 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | D Kisvarda FC | 1–1 | 7–1 |
| 2026-07-19 | A | L NK Osijek | 1–2 | 6–3 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | W Monori SE | 6–0 | 8–3 |
| 2026-07-08 | H | W Soroksar | 2–0 | 3–2 |
MTK Budapest — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | H | W Zalaegerszegi TE | 3–0 | 1–5 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | D Puskas Academy | 2–2 | 4–6 |
| 2026-05-02 | H | D Nyiregyhaza | 1–1 | 3–2 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | D Kazincbarcikai BSC | 0–0 | 6–4 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | W Kisvarda FC | 2–1 | 5–7 |
| 2026-04-11 | H | W Zalaegerszegi TE | 3–0 | 0–4 |
| 2026-04-05 | A | D Ujpest | 2–2 | 6–9 |
| 2026-03-21 | H | L Paksi | 0–2 | 6–3 |
| 2026-03-14 | A | D Gyor Eto FC | 0–0 | 1–12 |
| 2026-03-08 | H | D Diosgyori VTK | 1–1 | 11–3 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Kispest Honved vs MTK Budapest?
- Our model gives Kispest Honved a 36% chance, the draw 27% and MTK Budapest 36%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.