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Finland Ykkonen

KPV vs SalPa Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.38 – 2.20
Avg goals3.58
Our pickAway
KPV 23% Draw 22% SalPa 55%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 55% 1.81 1.44
Double chance – Home or away 78% 1.28 1.13
Goals 3.5 Under 52% 1.92 1.90
Both teams to score – Yes 67% 1.49 1.50
Asian handicap 1.25 Home +19% Value 61% 1.63 1.85
Corners 9.5 Over 61% 1.65 2.00
Correct score – 1-1 9% 10.72 10.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 5.25  ·  Draw 4.33  ·  Away 1.44
Goals 3.5 Over 1.90  ·  Under 1.90
Asian handicap 1.25 Home 1.85  ·  Away 1.95
Corners 10.5 Over 2.00  ·  Under 1.80

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.9 KPV
10.4 Expected corners
5.4 SalPa

KPV corner stats · SalPa corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 61% Under 39%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 10.4 corners in this match, with KPV winning 4.9 of them.
  • KPV win 4.59 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.34 over their last 29.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 52% of KPV matches.
  • Across 27 recent matches, SalPa games produced 10.96 corners on average — 5.44 taken by SalPa themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 63% of SalPa matches.
  • Games involving KPV produce 3.97 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 55%.
  • SalPa matches average 3.19 goals, with both teams scoring in 59% of them.
  • Across their previous 4 meetings, these sides averaged 3.3 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 4 meetings with corner data averaged 7.8 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 3.50 (52%).

KPV — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 A L OLS 1–2 5–4
2026-07-20 H D RoPS 1–1 7–4
2026-07-11 H L TPV 1–3 5–7
2026-07-03 A W FC Jazz 1–0 3–9
2026-06-28 H L PK Keski-Uusimaa 1–3 2–11
2026-06-13 H L JJK 2–3 4–12
2026-06-05 A L KUPS Akatemia 1–4 4–4
2026-05-29 H W FC Inter II 4–2 7–2
2026-05-23 A L VJS Vantaa 0–5 2–6
2026-05-16 H L Tampere Utd II 0–6 2–10

SalPa — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 H L PK Keski-Uusimaa 0–1 6–1
2026-07-18 A W FC Inter II 2–1 7–6
2026-07-10 A W Tampere Utd 1–0 4–5
2026-07-04 H D VJS Vantaa 2–2 6–9
2026-06-28 A D RoPS 2–2 0–12
2026-06-12 H W KUPS Akatemia 4–3 9–5
2026-06-06 A L OLS 0–5 6–5
2026-05-28 A W FC Jazz 2–1 7–2
2026-05-23 H W TPV 4–2 5–8
2026-05-16 A D JJK 2–2 2–4

Match questions

Who is predicted to win KPV vs SalPa?
Our model gives KPV a 23% chance, the draw 22% and SalPa 55%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in KPV vs SalPa?
The corner model projects 10.4 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 61% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.