Europe Friendlies
KV Mechelen vs Dunkerque Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
2-1
Expected goals2.22 – 1.31
Avg goals3.53
Our pickHome
KV Mechelen 57%
Draw 22%
Dunkerque 21%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 57% | 1.75 | 1.57 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 79% | 1.27 | 1.14 |
| Goals | 3.25 | Over | 53% | 1.90 | 1.80 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 66% | 1.52 | – |
| Asian handicap | -1 | Away | 54% | 1.85 | 1.80 |
| Correct score | – | 2-1 +42% Value | 9% | 10.57 | 15.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.57 · Draw 4.20 · Away 4.20 |
| Goals 3.25 | Over 1.80 · Under 2.00 |
| Asian handicap -1 | Home 2.00 · Away 1.80 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- KV Mechelen win 4.82 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.45 over their last 44.
- KV Mechelen games clear the 9.5 corner line 50% of the time.
- Across 39 recent matches, Dunkerque games produced 8.36 corners on average — 4.21 taken by Dunkerque themselves.
- Dunkerque games clear the 9.5 corner line 28% of the time.
- KV Mechelen matches average 2.64 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% of them.
- Games involving Dunkerque produce 2.77 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 56%.
- The model leans Over 3.25 goals at 53% probability.
KV Mechelen — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | A | L Willem II | 0–1 | 9–4 |
| 2026-07-16 | A | W KSK Heist | 1–0 | 7–6 |
| 2026-05-25 | A | L Sint-Truidense | 0–3 | 2–2 |
| 2026-05-22 | H | D Club Brugge | 2–2 | 3–5 |
| 2026-05-17 | A | D Anderlecht | 2–2 | 2–2 |
| 2026-05-11 | A | L Union Saint Gilloise | 0–3 | 3–3 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | W Gent | 1–0 | 7–4 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | L Sint-Truidense | 1–4 | 4–7 |
| 2026-04-23 | A | L Club Brugge | 1–6 | 3–3 |
| 2026-04-19 | H | L Anderlecht | 1–2 | 5–3 |
Dunkerque — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | H | W Samsunspor | 2–1 | 7–4 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | W Standard Liege | 2–0 | 2–2 |
| 2026-07-04 | H | L Valenciennes | 0–2 | 1–3 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | L Nancy | 2–3 | 5–3 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | L Grenoble | 0–1 | 8–0 |
| 2026-04-28 | A | W Boulogne | 6–2 | 3–5 |
| 2026-04-21 | H | L Laval | 0–2 | 5–2 |
| 2026-04-12 | A | L St Etienne | 1–2 | 2–6 |
| 2026-04-04 | H | D Rodez | 1–1 | 9–0 |
| 2026-03-21 | A | L Troyes | 1–5 | 3–6 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win KV Mechelen vs Dunkerque?
- Our model gives KV Mechelen a 57% chance, the draw 22% and Dunkerque 21%. The most likely score is 2-1.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.