USA MLS
LA Galaxy vs FC Dallas Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.62 – 1.60
Avg goals3.22
Our pickHome
LA Galaxy 38%
Draw 25%
FC Dallas 37%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 38% | 2.64 | 2.10 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 75% | 1.34 | 1.24 |
| Goals | 3 | Over | 52% | 1.94 | 1.80 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 65% | 1.54 | 1.44 |
| Asian handicap | -0.25 | Away +9% Value | 57% | 1.77 | 1.95 |
| Corners | 10.5 | Under | 52% | 1.93 | 1.90 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 11% | 8.76 | 7.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.10 · Draw 3.70 · Away 3.00 |
| Goals 3 | Over 1.80 · Under 2.00 |
| Asian handicap -0.25 | Home 1.85 · Away 1.95 |
| Corners 10.5 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
7.0
LA Galaxy
10.3
Expected corners
3.4
FC Dallas
LA Galaxy corner stats · FC Dallas corner stats
Corner line 10.50
Over 48%
Under 52%
Match trends
- Our model projects 10.3 corners in this match, with LA Galaxy winning 7 of them.
- Across 41 recent matches, LA Galaxy games produced 10.46 corners on average — 5.66 taken by LA Galaxy themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 63% of LA Galaxy matches.
- FC Dallas matches average 10.87 total corners (3.97 won per game) across their last 30 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 67% of FC Dallas matches.
- Games involving LA Galaxy produce 3.20 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 71%.
- FC Dallas matches average 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
- Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 3.4 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 9.1 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 3.00 (52%).
LA Galaxy — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | D San Jose | 1–1 | 6–6 |
| 2026-07-23 | H | L St. Louis City SC | 1–3 | 4–7 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | L LAFC | 0–3 | 9–3 |
| 2026-07-12 | H | W Club America | 1–0 | 3–7 |
| 2026-05-24 | H | D Houston Dynamo | 1–1 | 9–2 |
| 2026-05-17 | A | W Seattle Sounders | 2–0 | 1–5 |
| 2026-05-14 | A | L Kansas City | 1–3 | 8–4 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | W Atlanta Utd | 2–1 | 5–6 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | D Vancouver Whitecaps | 1–1 | 1–2 |
| 2026-04-27 | H | W Real Salt Lake | 2–1 | 7–0 |
FC Dallas — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | L San Diego FC | 0–1 | 4–9 |
| 2026-07-23 | A | D Portland Timbers | 2–2 | 3–5 |
| 2026-05-24 | A | W Colorado Rapids | 2–1 | 3–5 |
| 2026-05-17 | A | W San Jose | 3–2 | 4–12 |
| 2026-05-14 | H | L Vancouver Whitecaps | 2–3 | 6–6 |
| 2026-05-10 | H | W Real Salt Lake | 3–1 | 4–6 |
| 2026-05-03 | A | W NY Red Bulls | 2–0 | 4–8 |
| 2026-04-26 | A | L Seattle Sounders | 1–2 | 7–4 |
| 2026-04-23 | H | L Minnesota Utd | 0–1 | 4–3 |
| 2026-04-19 | H | D LA Galaxy | 2–2 | 4–3 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win LA Galaxy vs FC Dallas?
- Our model gives LA Galaxy a 38% chance, the draw 25% and FC Dallas 37%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in LA Galaxy vs FC Dallas?
- The corner model projects 10.3 total corners. Over 10.50 corners is rated at 48% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.