Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2
Lajeadense vs EC Pelotas Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.18 – 1.42
Avg goals2.60
Our pickAway
Lajeadense 30%
Draw 29%
EC Pelotas 41%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 41% | 2.42 | 2.20 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 71% | 1.40 | 1.27 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 52% | 1.93 | 1.90 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 54% | 1.86 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 14% | 7.31 | 7.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 3.00 · Draw 3.10 · Away 2.20 |
| Goals 2 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- Across their previous 5 meetings, these sides averaged 1.2 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 5 meetings with corner data averaged 8 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.50 (52%).
Lajeadense — last 2 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-06 | A | L Aimore | 0–2 | 2–4 |
| 2025-08-01 | H | L Aimore | 0–1 | 5–2 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Lajeadense vs EC Pelotas?
- Our model gives Lajeadense a 30% chance, the draw 29% and EC Pelotas 41%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.