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USA USL Championship

Las Vegas Lights FC vs Phoenix Rising FC Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.46 – 1.40
Avg goals2.86
Our pickHome
Las Vegas Lights FC 38% Draw 27% Phoenix Rising FC 35%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 38% 2.66 2.45
Double chance – Home or away 73% 1.38 1.23
Goals 2.75 Under 51% 1.95 1.88
Both teams to score – Yes 59% 1.70 1.62
Asian handicap 0 Home 52% 1.93 1.90
Corners 9.5 Under 59% 1.70 –
Correct score – 1-1 13% 7.76 7.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.45  ·  Draw 3.40  ·  Away 2.45
Goals 2.75 Over 1.93  ·  Under 1.88
Asian handicap 0 Home 1.90  ·  Away 1.90

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.6 Las Vegas Lights FC
8.8 Expected corners
4.2 Phoenix Rising FC

Las Vegas Lights FC corner stats · Phoenix Rising FC corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 41% Under 59%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 8.8 corners in this match, with Las Vegas Lights FC winning 4.6 of them.
  • Las Vegas Lights FC win 4.33 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.00 over their last 33.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 42% of Las Vegas Lights FC matches.
  • Across 39 recent matches, Phoenix Rising FC games produced 9.44 corners on average — 4.64 taken by Phoenix Rising FC themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 49% of Phoenix Rising FC matches.
  • Games involving Las Vegas Lights FC produce 2.79 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 64%.
  • Phoenix Rising FC matches average 2.72 goals, with both teams scoring in 49% of them.
  • Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 2.7 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 13.1 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.75 (51%).

Las Vegas Lights FC — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 A W Detroit City FC 1–0 2–8
2026-07-19 A W San Antonio FC 2–1 5–5
2026-07-12 A W Monterey Bay FC 3–2 4–6
2026-07-05 H L El Paso Locomotive FC 1–2 8–3
2026-06-21 H L Orange County SC 2–3 5–5
2026-06-14 A W Birmingham Legion FC 2–1 7–2
2026-06-07 H L Oakland Roots 0–2 6–6
2026-05-31 H D Tulsa 0–0 2–3
2026-05-24 H W Colorado Switchbacks FC 2–0 2–6
2026-05-18 A L Spokane Velocity FC 0–1 5–2

Phoenix Rising FC — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 H D Hartford Athletic 0–0 6–0
2026-07-19 H W Monterey Bay FC 3–2 9–3
2026-07-12 A L Antelope Valley Alta 1–2 6–6
2026-07-05 A L Colorado Switchbacks FC 1–3 2–14
2026-06-21 H L Oakland Roots 3–4 9–2
2026-06-14 A D El Paso Locomotive FC 1–1 4–0
2026-06-11 H L Louisville City FC 0–2 7–4
2026-06-07 A L New Mexico United 0–4 8–5
2026-05-31 H W Sacramento Republic 2–0 5–5
2026-05-24 A L Tampa Bay Rowdies 0–3 3–3

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Las Vegas Lights FC vs Phoenix Rising FC?
Our model gives Las Vegas Lights FC a 38% chance, the draw 27% and Phoenix Rising FC 35%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Las Vegas Lights FC vs Phoenix Rising FC?
The corner model projects 8.8 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 41% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.